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Arabica Futures Lower as Data Shows Comfortable Inventories

By: CommodityNetwork Team - USA, CommodityNetwork USA

CoffeeNetwork

Arabica Futures Lower as Data Shows Comfortable Inventories

CoffeeNetwork – Arabica prices on the InterContinental Exchange Arabica prices on the InterContinental Exchange are trading lower today by 4.55 based on the September contract, last seen at 178,65 with moderate volume of 12,701 contracts. The December contract was 4.65 lower at 181.50 with 24,291 contracts.

Arabica futures are lower today. The market is digesting the news of yesterday’s GCA stock data. As previously reported by CoffeeNetwork, GCA stocks totaled 6.074 million bags at the end of July, up 5.1% from the month prior. It is estimated that these inventories will be sufficient for around 3 months of roasting in the US, which is considered safe supplies in the short term. Fundamentally, the market is also awaiting further assessments of frost damage from Brazil and will need plentiful rainfall in the upcoming Spring season. Long term however, the recent spike in coffee prices on the international market provides good incentive for farmers to improve farm practices, like fertilizer use and pruning, which could stimulate production, yet again, shifting the global balance sheet. Technically, traders also note that long specs are getting out on technical weakness. The First Notice Day for the September contract on August 23rd is also adding some last-minute price fixing selling.

Robusta futures are also lower today, following weakness in the Arabica market. Vietnam continues to struggle with logistic challenges and there is now increasing concern that the country could be headed for another lockdown amid rising Delta Covid-19 cases.

Commodities are lower today as the US dollar firmed against its major rivals. US retail trade fell 1.1 percent from a month earlier in July 2021, following a revised 0.7 percent growth in June.

Brent Crude Oil fell 0.26% to 69.33 and Spot Gold Futures also slumped 0.24% to 1,783.22.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.95% to 35,288.27 and the Stoxx Europe 600 Index was last seen at 473.78, up 0.07%.   

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