
Daily Coffee Report 8/6/26
Daily coffee report

- Coffee
By: StoneX Coffee Team, Softs Coffee Miami
Coffee Markets End Modestly Lower
Today’s session was characterized by light activity and low volume. The reference contract for December delivery dropped 70 points to settle at 193.65 cents per pound. Profit-takings by speculators contributed to the fall. Failing to attract solid buying against last week’s highs discouraged the long players. Rains in Brazil over the weekend also are keeping the market under pressure today, as the developing crop receives some much-needed precipitation which could improve the outlook for the crop. There were some reports of hailstorms in Minas Gerais, but no damage has been reported. More rains after next week are expected to cover the areas of Sao Paulo and south of Minas Gerais. Strong rains in Colombia could threaten the 2021-22 output as many areas have gotten more than they need. Officially the harvest will begin next month, but local sources indicated that it has started already. The wet climate has been driven by the La Niña phenomenon.
A combination of continued overhead origin scales coupled with a weak technical back drop saw values retest key support off the opening bell, resting at the old breakout point at $2130. However, a lack of follow through pressure sub $2130 saw levels retrace marginally into the mid-session carried by nearby short covering. The slowdown in flat price activity saw attention shift back to structure with spot structure weakening to $9 premium on just under 800 lots eroding a layer of resting commercial short rolling. However, after spending the mid-session pivoting around $2140 amid low volume, the speculative community re engaged the downside happy in the knowledge overhead commercial pressure could be used for cover. This attempt was successful as a fresh layer of selling was found sub $2130, whilst roasters were noted more by absence, encouraging values to test and crucially settle below the old breakout point setting up a rather negative nearby technical picture.
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Daily coffee report


August 6 – This morning’s stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data offered markets some relief, reinforcing confidence in the economy while giving the Fed greater flexibility to raise rates should inflationary pressures reaccelerate in next week’s July data. Stock futures are pointing to a mixed open to start the day, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq showing the most weakness. The VIX has fallen notably from yesterday’s spike above 18.4 as it starts the day hovering just below the 16-mark. The dollar is quietly higher as it trades just above 99.8, holding in the tight range seen thus far this week as traders continue to digest data to shape expectations for the Fed’s next move, which we’ll dive into in more depth below. Long-term treasury yields have relaxed slightly from their recent spike, with 30-year yields starting the day trading just above 5.19%, while 10-year yields trade above 4.64%, and 2-year yields sit below 4.22%. Crude oil is modestly higher to start the session after sharp declines earlier in the week, with nearby WTI up 1.8% to trade at $76.40 and nearby Brent up 2.4% to trade at $81.40. Meanwhile, the ags are quietly mixed to start the day.


Daily coffee report

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