
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

- Dairy
By: Dairy Team - Chicago, Dairy Chicago

A mixed trade in spot cheese yesterday with block prices down a ½ cent on 2 trades and barrels up 3.5 cents but found willing sellers yesterday. The relatively steady spot cheese prices has dampened any willingness to build a premium to the spot market despite new avian flu cases being reported in California and with Utah being the new state with reported cases. The larger sentiment seems concerned about demand as seasonal demand tends to decline heading into year-end.
December and January Class III made 2 month lows but approaching technical support short term. Class III volume dipped slightly but was strong with over 2,400 contracts trading as open interest was very steady only increasing by 3 contracts. The steady open interest was mostly due to the Nov/Dec spread trading as positions were likely being rolled. After trading over 400 times Tuesday, that spread traded 500 times yesterday and causing a decrease in open interest in Nov and increase in Dec. The market this week has very much been focused on these front months, hinged to spot market activity. Given the discount futures has to spot, any strong bidding in spot could ignite a rally. Markets are so far steady this morning.
Spot butter continues to rebound from lows last week trading up 1.5 cents to $2.705 on 5 trades. A rangebound spot butter market has welcomed decent liquidity in futures across 2025 but also a cash and carry trade is likely happening with spot prices at 270 and deferred futures past January above 280. 555 contracts traded yesterday and nearly all of it was new open interest as that rose by 549. 1H butter futures traded roughly 70 times between 281-282. 2H futures traded about 8 times at 286. We saw new buyers and new sellers enter the market yesterday, buyers likely locking in prices to not see $3.00 again and sellers taking advantage of the carry in the market.
Overall, butter open interest has recovered nicely and nearly at the highs we saw in 2020 and 2022 on a continuous basis across all open contracts. The stronger open interest is not necessarily directional but a sign that willing buyers are meeting willing sellers across the curve.

Spot NFDM was active yesterday trading up to $1.3950 during the session before settling a ¼ cent lower to $1.3850 on 7 trades. Futures activity was mixed as prices were no more than a cent on either side on unchanged. Volume was bleak after a strong day on Tuesday as only 81 contracts traded. SGX/NZX powder prices continue to push higher after the stronger GDT Pulse on Tuesday.
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Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


August 10 – The world commodity markets and economy remains at risk amid two wars this morning. Tensions continue to escalate in both the Middle East and the Black Sea – risking pulling other countries into the conflicts. Stocks are down modestly this morning as we start a week of trade in which we’ll see key inflation and retail sales data following a weak jobs report this past Friday. Yet, stocks continue to trade just below record high levels, with the VIX trading near 2026 lows just above 15. The dollar index is trading near 99.7. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.68%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.23%. The energy and food-based markets are firmer today amid the escalated risks. WTI crude oil is trading near $80, while Brent trades near $85 per barrel. Double-digit gains in the winter wheat markets lead the way for higher grain and oilseed prices.


Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

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