Daily Coffee Report 8/11/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
Keurig Dr Pepper Reports Strong Q3 2021 Results and Raises Net Sales Guidance for the Year
By: Alexis Rubinstein, Managing Editor - Coffee Network
Keurig Dr Pepper Reports Strong Q3 2021 Results and Raises Net Sales Guidance for the Year
CoffeeNetwork (New York) - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ: KDP) today reported strong and balanced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021 and raised its guidance for net sales growth, which is now expected in the range of 7% to 8% for 2021. The Company also reaffirmed its guidance for Adjusted diluted EPS growth in the range of 13% to 15% for the year.
Net sales for the third quarter of 2021 increased 7.6% to $3.25 billion, compared to $3.02 billion in the year-ago period, driven by growth in each business segment, with Beverage Concentrates and Latin America Beverages posting double-digit growth. On a constant currency basis, net sales advanced 6.8% in the quarter, reflecting higher volume/mix of 3.2% and favorable net price realization of 3.6%. On a two-year basis, year-to-date constant currency net sales advanced 13.3% versus the first nine months of 2019.
KDP in-market performance in the Liquid Refreshment Beverages (LRB) category remained strong in the quarter, with retail dollar consumption2 advancing 6.8% across the Company's cold beverage retail base, reflecting strength in CSDs3, premium unflavored water, enhanced flavored water, coconut water, apple juice and apple sauce. This performance was driven by Dr Pepper, Sunkist, Canada Dry, A&W and Squirt CSDs, Evian, Bai, Vita Coco, Polar and Mott's apple juice and apple sauce. On a two-year stacked basis, KDP gained market share in nearly 75% of its cold beverage retail base and grew consumption of its cold beverage portfolio by 23%.
In coffee, retail consumption of single-serve pods manufactured by KDP in IRi tracked channels increased 4.3% and dollar market share remained strong, advancing to 83% in the quarter. Performance in the away-from-home business improved versus the year-ago shelter-in-place environment, although the increase in overall consumer mobility has not yet fully translated into a broad return to offices. On a two-year stacked basis, retail consumption of single-serve pods manufactured by KDP increased 16% in IRi tracked channels.
Coffee Systems
Net sales for the third quarter of 2021 advanced 5.3% to $1.16 billion, compared to $1.10 billion in the year-ago period. On a constant currency basis, net sales advanced 4.6%, reflecting higher volume/mix of 5.7% and lower net price realization of 1.1%.
The volume/mix increase of 5.7% in the quarter reflected pod volume growth of 6.3% and brewer volume growth of 2.2%, despite lapping growth of 34% in the year-ago quarter. The pod volume performance reflected continued strong growth in the at-home business and improving trends in the away-from-home business, although the return to offices continues to be slow and the away-from-home business remains well below pre-pandemic levels. The brewer volume growth largely reflected continued strong retail consumption, primarily driven by the Company's successful brewer innovation program, despite the comparison to the very strong brewer shipments in the year-ago period.
GAAP operating income increased 4.4% to $334 million in the third quarter of 2021, compared to $320 million in the year-ago period, reflecting the strong net sales growth, continued productivity and merger synergies and the favorable year-over-year impact of items affecting comparability. Partially offsetting these positive drivers were inflation in input costs, logistics and manufacturing and higher marketing investment in the quarter.
Adjusted operating income increased 1.1% to $377 million in the third quarter of 2021, compared to $373 million in the year-ago period and, on a constant currency basis, Adjusted operating income advanced 0.5%. On a percent of net sales basis, Adjusted operating income in the third quarter of 2021 was 32.6%, compared to 34.0% in the year-ago period, largely due to the impacts of inflation and increased marketing investment.
Latin America Beverages
Net sales for the third quarter of 2021 increased 25.8% to $156 million, compared to $124 million in the year-ago period and, on a constant currency basis, net sales increased 14.5%. This performance was driven by strong volume/mix growth of 10.5%, reflecting the benefits of significantly higher marketing investment and favorable net price realization of 4.0%.
Outlook for 2021
The Company raised its guidance for constant currency net sales growth to the range of 7% to 8%, from the previous range of 6% to 7%, and reaffirmed its outlook for Adjusted diluted EPS growth in the range of 13% to 15%. KDP continues to expect its management leverage ratio to be at or below 3.0x at year-end.
Alexis Rubinstein
- Coffee
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Daily Coffee Report 8/10/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
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