Daily Coffee Report 8/11/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
USDA ATTACHE: Ecuador’s Coffee Production Seen Increasing 2% in 2021-2022
By: Diana Delgado, Contractor
USDA ATTACHE: Ecuador’s Coffee Production Seen Increasing 2% in 2021-2022
Coffee Network (Bogota) Ecuador’s coffee production for marketing year 2021/22 (April to March) is forecast at 261,000 60-kilogram (kg) bags of coffee, an increase of 2% over 2020/2021 estimate of 255,000 60-kg bags, the US Agricultural Department said.
Despite government and private sector efforts to recover national coffee production, planted area in marketing year 2021/2022 is expected to remain at 60,000 hectares. Exports are expected to fall to 444,000 60-kg bags after a jump in exports the previous year. The continued COVID-19 pandemic could cause some issues with harvesting and processing of coffee in Ecuador.
The production and export of coffee in Ecuador began a drastic decline in 2013. Since then, the export of coffee grains has decreased by 84% and for soluble coffee, by 61%. A low field productivity, which is 80% lower than other Latin American countries, and high processing costs have made Ecuadorian coffee less competitive compared to neighboring countries.
Meanwhile, prices obtained by Robusta producers have recovered in the last year, which has stopped the downward trend in production for now. Meanwhile, prices for Arabica remain in the range of $110.00/60-kg bag, except for specialty coffees which can often receive nearly double that price at $200/60-kg bag.
An effort by the Ecuadorian government to simplify the supply chain has succeeded in some areas where producers who sell “fresh cherry” beans have been able to receive prices twice that of historical prices ($10/60-kg bag).
EXPORTS EXPECTED TO FALL
Ecuadorian coffee exports for 2021/22 are forecast at 444,000 60-kg bags, a reduction of 11% from the previous year. In 2020/21, exports are revised up to 500,000 based on local industry and Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAG) figures. The forecast for coffee imports during in 2021/22 is 330,000 bags, a decrease of 20,000 bags compared to 2020/21. This is primarily caused by the loss of Ecuador’s competitiveness in the region, the increase of transport costs, the increase in local production, and the current health pandemic.
Consumption
Consumption in Ecuador for 2021/22 is forecast at 245,000 bags 60-kg, a slight increase over the previous year due to an unexpected increase of consumption during the second half of calendar year (CY) 2020. The first half of 2020 showed a reduction of nearly 20% in consumption due to COVID-19, but Ecuadorians have now increased their consumption, mainly of ground coffee.
Planted Area Down
Ecuador’s total planted area of coffee has drastically reduced over the past several years. For marketing year 2021/22 (April/March), FAS Quito forecasts the planted area will remain at approximately 60,000 hectares, the same as the downward revision for 2020/2021. This figure concurs with data published by both the Ministry of Agriculture (MAG) and Ecuador’s National Association of Coffee Exporters (ANECAFE). The harvested area is forecast to increase by 9% to 37,000 hectares in 2021/22. Productivity continues to increase as new and recently pruned trees come into production, mainly among C. canephora (Robusta) crops.
Ecuador’s Robusta trees have a national average yield of 0.41 MT per hectare and range from 0.13 to 0.63 MT per hectare. A slight decrease in yields is expected for C. arabica trees, which have a national average yield of 0.31 MT per hectare and range from 0.28 to 1.22 MT per hectare.
By Diana Delgado
- Coffee
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Daily Coffee Report 8/10/26
Daily coffee report
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