StoneX logo

Colombia’s Coffee Output To Increase to 16 million bags by 2027

By: Diana Delgado, Contractor

Colombia’s Coffee Output To Increase to 16 million bags by 2027

 
Diana Delgado
Latin American correspondent
diana.delgado@stonex.com

Colombia’s Coffee Output To Increase to 16 million bags by 2027

Coffee Network (Bogota)- Colombia, the world’s third largest coffee producer, will boost coffee output to 14 million bags of 60-kg towards the end of 2025 and 16 million bags in 2027 as this Andean country aims to renovate 20% of its coffee plantations in 2024 and onwards, German Bahamon general manager of the coffee growers federation (FNC) said.

Colombia is expected to produce 11.4 million bags of 60-kg in the calendar year 2023, Bahamon told reporters on the sidelines of the 92th annual coffee congress.

“We have defined that we will renovate 20% of our coffee park in 2024. By renovating 20% of the 842,000 hectares, the age of coffee plantations will drop. We will improve productivity and increase the profitability,” Bahamon said.

The renovation along with a new loan from the Agricultural Ministry to foster Zoca and increased fertilization will lead to a boost in productivity, Bahamon noted.

FNC has not yet counted the beans on trees to predict the 2023-2024 coffee harvest. Although he said coffee growers in the departments of Nariño, Cauca and Huila are reporting good flowerings associated to the higher luminosity induced by the El  Niño.

Yet coffee growers need some rainfall early next year to begin the filling of the beans, Bahamon said.

The global coffee market should expect a surplus next year led by increased output from Brazil, Bahamon noted.

Robusta

FNC has yet recommended planting Robusta in Colombia because they don’t have technical information about which are the best varieties resistant to pests, and which are the varieties that yield the higher productivity.

“We don't want to do it just for the sake of it, we want to do it in a responsible and serious way,” he said. “Once we suggest it, we are not going to cause harm to a coffee-growing family,” Bahamon added.

If Robusta coffee is endorsed, it could be used to substitute the 2 million bags of coffee that gets imported each year to supply the local market.

Colombia could plant up 80,000 hectares of Robusta beans, which could yield 3.2 million bags of 60-kg in three-four years. By doing so, Colombia could recover production of about 14 million bags, a level that lost four years ago.  The production of 3.2 million bags could help replace the 2 million bags of imported coffee that it’s used for local consumption needs, the coffee exporters association Asoexport has said.

A hectare of Robusta could yield as much as 40 bags of 60-kg of coffee, twice as much as the one produced by Arabica, Asoexport said.

Colombian President Petro ordered to form an interinstitutional table that invited the global president of Nestle to promote the production of Robusta beans.  

Agricultural institute Agrosavia is carrying out tests to produce Robusta beans in the Pacific town of Tumaco, humid areas in the Caribbean and the Llanos Foothills.

Agrosavia has already imported the seeds of Robusta, and the seedlings are being reproduced. It is understanding the adaptation and performance. It is also evaluating planting distances, fertilization, integrated management of pests and diseases, pruning, etc.

 

Expansion of Land

Colombia will not expand coffee land until the nation ensures new buyers in the international market that guarantees the efforts to boost the number of hectares in coffee, Bahamon noted.

FNC will first identify new growing markets such as China to boost areas of coffee, he added.

“We first need to generate the demand for Colombian coffee in international markets before we increase the area of plantations,” he noted.

The Minister of Agriculture today said the Petro administration  seeks to expand the coffee plantations to about 1 million hectares by end of his administration in 2026, up from around 850,000 hectares now. Such expansion will also be financed with public-public funds.

“Coffee growers today have 2 million hectares of which around 850,000 hectares are producing beans. We want them to expand the coffee hectares to improve the revenues of coffee families,” she said.

Bahamon said Colombia will export 137,000 bags of 60-kg to China in 2023, up from 50,000 bags last year. Colombia is also making inroads in Estonia, and it is expanding in the Middle East.

Separately, Bahamon said only one of the troubled coffee cooperatives is pending a payment agreement with FNC. “The rest has already signed a payment agreement with FNC,” he added.

Dry Coffee

One of Bahamon’s priorities is that coffee growers stop selling “humid beans “ to coffee cooperatives as they are damaging the quality  of the cup being produced in Colombia.

Coffee cooperatives in Antioquia, Nariño and Zipacon in Cundinamarca are currently only buying dry parchment coffee.

“To buy cherry coffee, the cooperative has the ability to establish what product they are going to sell. They can even make the decision on what product the market is asking them to offer, if they want to dry it in a natural way or if they want fermentation,” he concluded.

By Diana Delgado 

 

 

  • Coffee

This material should be construed as market commentary and represents the opinions and viewpoints of the author, and does not reflect tailored advice associated with any specific account.


The views are current only through the date stated and are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions, and StoneX Group Inc. (“SGI”) disclaims any responsibility to update such views. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided.


References to certain OTC products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets, LLC (SXM), a member of the National Futures Association (NFA) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ and who have been accepted as customers of SXM.


StoneX Financial Inc. (SFI) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Advisor. StoneX Financial (Canada) Inc. (SFCI) is registered in Canada and is a member of CIRO and CIPF. References to certain securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to certain exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI. Wealth Management is offered through SA Stone Wealth Management Inc., member FINRA/SIPC, and SA Stone Investment Advisors Inc., an SEC-registered investment advisor, both wholly owned subsidiaries of SGI.

R.J. O’Brien & Associates, LLC (RJO) is registered with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and is a member of NFA.


StoneX Financial Ltd (SFL) is registered in England and Wales, company no. 5616586. SFL is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) (registration number FRN:446717) to provide services to professional and eligible customers including: arrangement, execution and, where required, clearing derivative transactions in exchange traded futures and options. SFL is also authorized to engage in the arrangement and execution of transactions in certain OTC products, certain securities trading, precious metals trading and payment services to eligible customers. SFL is authorized and regulated by the FCA under the Payment Services Regulations 2017 for the provision of payment services. SFL is a category 1 ring-dealing member of the London Metal Exchange. In addition SFL also engages in other physically delivered commodities business and other general business activities which are unregulated and not required to be authorized by the FCA.


This communication is issued in the European Economic Area by StoneX Financial Europe GmbH (SFEG). StoneX is the trade name used by STONEX GROUP INC. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries. StoneX Financial Europe GmbH (“SFEG”) is a securities trading firm registered in Germany under Company No. HRB 80844.


StoneX APAC Pte. Ltd. (“SAP”) (Co. Reg. No 200616676W) is regulated as a Dealer (PS20190001002) under the Precious Stones and Precious Metals (Prevention of Money Laundering and Terrorism Financing) Act 2019 for purposes of anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism. SAP is an “Approved International Trading Company” authorized to act as a “Spot Commodity Broker” under the Commodity Trading Act.


StoneX Financial Pte Ltd (Co. Reg. No 201130598R) (“SFP”) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and is a Capital Markets Service Licence holder (for dealing in capital market products), an Exempt Financial Adviser (for advising on investment products and issuing or promulgating analyses/ reports on investment products) and a Major Payment Institution (for domestic and cross-border money transfer services).


SFP may distribute analysis/report produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the StoneX Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations Recipients should contact SFP at (65) 6309 1000 for any matters arising from, or in connection with, this webinar.


StoneX APAC Pte. Ltd. (“SAP”) (Co. Reg. No 200616676W) is regulated as a Dealer (PS20190001002) under the Precious Stones and Precious Metals (Prevention of Money Laundering and Terrorism Financing) Act 2019 for purposes of anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism.


StoneX Financial (HK) Limited (CE No.: BCQ152) (“SHK”) is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission for Dealing in Securities and Dealing in Futures Contracts.


StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (ACN 141 774 727) holds an Australian Financial Service License (AFSL: 345646) for Dealing in Securities, Exchange-Traded Derivatives Contracts, OTC Derivatives Contracts and Foreign Exchange Contracts, and is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission.


StoneX Securities Co., Ltd. (“SSJ”) (Co. Reg. No 010401047199) is regulated by the Japanese Financial Services Agency as a Type-I Financial Instruments Business Operator (Kanto Local Finance Bureau (FIBO)No.291’), is a member of the Financial Futures Association of Japan for dealing and broking FX and FX Option transactions, and is a member of the Japan Securities Dealers Association for dealing and broking stock indices and option transactions.


Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance of any futures or option is not indicative of future success. Indicators are not a trading system and are not published as a specific trade recommendation. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.


The report/analysis herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.


© 2026 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Satellite view of Earth at night showing illuminated cities across Asia and the Middle East

Discover more insights

Our subscribers have access to comprehensive market analysis from StoneX spanning commodities, equities, currencies and more.

Related articles for Coffee

Perspective: Morning Commentary for August 11

August 11 – It was generally a quiet night for the markets until early this morning when a headline hit that Iran and Oman were close to reaching a deal. Stock futures rallied, while the dollar index followed Treasury yields lower, along with active selling in the energy- and food-based commodities. The headline had limited impact though in a world that has become skeptical of promises of peace. Stock futures remain steady to firmer at this hour, while the VIX trades near 16 – just above 2026 lows. The dollar index is trading near 99.8 this morning, after recovering from its early morning selloff over the following hour of trade. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.69%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries trade near 4.22%. WTI crude oil is trading near $82 per barrel at this hour, while Brent trades near $88. The grain and oilseed markets are mostly weaker, after failing to recover from this morning’s early selloff that started in the crude oil market.

Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman
  • Grains & Oilseeds
  • Energy
  • Dairy
  • Renewable Fuels
  • Cocoa
  • Coffee
  • Cotton
  • Sugar
  • Meats & Livestock
  • Forest Products

Daily Coffee Report 8/10/26

Daily coffee report

StoneX Coffee Team
StoneX Coffee Team
  • Coffee

Perspective: Morning Commentary for August 10

August 10 – The world commodity markets and economy remains at risk amid two wars this morning. Tensions continue to escalate in both the Middle East and the Black Sea – risking pulling other countries into the conflicts. Stocks are down modestly this morning as we start a week of trade in which we’ll see key inflation and retail sales data following a weak jobs report this past Friday. Yet, stocks continue to trade just below record high levels, with the VIX trading near 2026 lows just above 15. The dollar index is trading near 99.7. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.68%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.23%. The energy and food-based markets are firmer today amid the escalated risks. WTI crude oil is trading near $80, while Brent trades near $85 per barrel. Double-digit gains in the winter wheat markets lead the way for higher grain and oilseed prices.

Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman
  • Grains & Oilseeds
  • Energy
  • Dairy
  • Renewable Fuels
  • Cocoa
  • Coffee
  • Cotton
  • Sugar
  • Meats & Livestock
  • Forest Products
StoneX: We open markets

Our market expertise, advanced platforms, global reach, culture of full transparency and commitment to our clients’ success all set us apart in the financial marketplace.

Reach

With access to 40+ derivatives exchanges, 180+ foreign exchange markets, nearly every global securities marketplace and numerous bi-lateral liquidity venues, StoneX’s digital network and deep relationships can take clients anywhere they want to go.

Transparency

As a publicly traded company meeting the highest standards of regulatory compliance in the markets we serve, our financials and record of accomplishment are matters of public record. StoneX’s commitment to “doing the right thing over the easy thing” sets us apart in the industry and helps us build respect, client trust and new partnerships.

Expertise

From our proprietary Market Intelligence platform, to “boots on the ground” expertise from award-winning traders and professionals, we connect our clients directly to actionable insights they can use to make more informed decisions and achieve their goals in the global markets.