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Daily Coffee Report - 06/15/2023

By: StoneX Coffee Team, Softs Coffee Miami

Coffee Extends Bounce
 
StoneX Coffee Team
 

Arabica coffee futures for September delivery closed 280 higher to 182.95 per pound.  Good trading activity continued reaching 41,263 lots, including 13,551 switches. The short covering of the July position boosted prices. With the OI at 16,409, more support from the structure is possible before the July FND, June 22nd. Prices have shown firmness since the opening today, attracting speculative buying. Good support in the charts below 175, for the September position encourage the action. A cold front entering the producing areas of Brazil during the weekend will cause temperatures to drop significantly, however most weather analysts do not expect them to reach freezing levels. The long weekend and cold forecast prevented additional sales. The market will be closed on Monday due to the Juneteenth holiday.  Arabica Certified stocks declined 1,475 bags to 546,325 bags. Pending grading added 660 bags today at 11,547 bags. No grading was reported today.

Robusta Sep23 contract settled at $2757 +63 with a 2770/2687 range. Main driver today was the rally in the Jul/Sep, we saw 5k lots trade between 32/70 (a high for the spread) eventually coming back to settle at +45, commercial shorts were forced to pay up into a vacuum of selling. The story remains the same, roaster buying is present with very little resting origin selling to absorb speculative buying. We also need to keep an eye on the OI in Robusta Jul23 coming into FND, currently we see 30.7k lots of open interest, on the high side with only 7 trading days left. Sep23 2800/2500 fence (to the call) vs 2713Δ64 traded 5000x @ 50, Jul23/Sep23 CSO 80 call traded 1850x @ between 7/10.

At the time of writing

USDBRL 4.8049 - 0.14%

USDCOP 4168.2 - 0.28%

Coffeeorderdesk@stonex.com    

Miami                                                London                                Brazil                           

305-925-4847                                  +44-203-580-6099            +55-11-3509-5426     

ICE Arabica

Volume:

41,263

ICE Robusta

Volume:

26,056

Brazil Arabica

Volume:

339

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage
Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage
Arabica Switches
Robusta Switches
 
 
  • Coffee

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