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Daily Coffee Report - 08/24/2023

By: StoneX Coffee Team, Softs Coffee Miami

Coffee Ends Steady  
 
StoneX Coffee Team
 

Arabica coffee futures for December delivery settled 40 points higher at 154.30 cents a pound. The activity was driven by short terms specs trading both sides of the market looking for volatility. Volume continued to decline as only 26,992 lots were traded, including 5,594 switches. The dollar remained strong ahead of a critical speech from J Powell, head of the Fed tomorrow in the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Mr Powell is expected to outline the policy to assess whether rates should go higher.  The real devaluated 0.2 % to BRL 4.8720, and the Colombia peso lost 0.3% to COP 4,088. Technically, the December chart shows the market still completing the rebound from last week’s lows. Prices have encountered resistance at the 155 level for the moment. Oscillators with neutral values could accompany the market in any direction. The first delivery notices for total of 387 lots were issued last night against September delivery. They were issued by Deutsche Bank Futures and stopped by ABN Amro 161, SG Americas 213 and ADM 2. Certs stocks declined by 750 bags to 512,753 bags. Pending grading 0.

The Robusta terminal now moves into the Sep23 contract notice period tomorrow. Working exposure stood at 15,285 lots overnight with 9,605 lots trading and 1400 EFP’S posted today amid 3,598 lots of certified stock. This suggest we move in FND with around 5,000 lots still to be managed or potentially financing rolls still to be executed, with residue trapped shorts feeling heavy relief today, generated by the Sep23/nov23 structure plunging $71 to $155 premium as participant focus on the implication of cash conversion calculations employed by the exchange through notice periods limiting spread premium.  

At the time of writing

USDBRL 4.8740 + 0.37%

USDCOP 4070.4 - 0.51%

Coffeeorderdesk@stonex.com    

Miami                                                London                                Brazil                           

305-925-4847                                  +44-203-580-6099            +55-11-3509-5426     

ICE Arabica

Volume:

26,902

ICE Robusta

Volume:

34,900

Brazil Arabica

Volume:

705

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage
Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage
Arabica Switches
Robusta Switches
 
 
  • Coffee

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