
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

- Dairy
By: Dairy Team - Chicago, Dairy Chicago

Spot cheese buyers pushed the price of block back over $1.80 yesterday on three trades underpinning Class III/Cheese futures nearby. The swift futures decline of earlier this week is difficult to shrug off leaving upside limited yesterday with futures closing off their highs on solid trade volume. When the closing bell rang, 1,928 Class III and over 1,157 Cheese contracts changed hands closing mostly higher on the day.
Open interest gains continued to be paltry for Class III (+31 contracts) but really quite impressive for Cheese futures. Cheese open interest increased by 753 contracts to put total futures open interest at 15,550. The market has a long way to go however. To put that into perspective, this time last year Cheese futures open interest – the number of open contracts marked-to-the-market daily was 21,315. That means there are about 27% fewer open cheese futures positions in the market today vs. this day last year.
There could be several reasons for this – including use of options or OTC products – along with more attractive pricing recently. But also we’d suggest that the uncertainty around the FMMO Final Decision kept some would-be market participants on the sidelines. All that changed with last week’s announcement and there has been a surge in new market participation for Cheese futures this week. Look for some consolidation for futures markets and perhaps some price recovery for Class III and Cheese futures as the trade squares positions ahead of the reports following the close this afternoon.
Butter futures continued their slide yesterday again with good volume and rising open interest. There may be some bloodletting for market bulls today ahead of the USDA Milk Production and Cold Storage reports (to be released at 2pm), but aggressive new selling capturing the butter futures forward curve premium was the theme this week. Spot butter fell a penny to finished at $2.5125 yesterday on four trades. The spot market appears to be carving out some sort of stable price action here around $2.50, but we’re on guard now for a break below the long-term support level – call it $2.4500. We’re not there yet, so the market can continue to chop here.
NFDM futures mostly bounced again Thursday and again did so on unconvincing light trade volumes as spot nonfat traded unchanged with no trades for a second straight session. Futures traded under 100 contracts for the second straight day as open interest rose by 23 contracts. NFDM futures hover around technical support and likely will find direct after this afternoons milk production report. EEX SMP prices have been stayed steady near contract lows while SGX SMP has consolidated a bit after the ~8-9 cent rally in January recovering roughly half of the sell off seen in December.
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Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


August 7 – The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23k jobs in July, dramatically below market expectations of an 80k increase and marking the worst Non-Farm Payrolls print since February. Furthermore, May and June were both revised sharply downward, with combined revisions showing 103k fewer jobs than previously reported. Outside of the healthcare sector, which added 22k jobs in July, the losses were very broad-based. Government payrolls saw the largest decline, shedding 53k jobs in July, the largest seen since October 2025, while June was revised down to show a loss of 10k jobs as well. The private sector at least saw growth, adding 30k jobs in July, now matching the month prior after it was revised down from the 49k initially reported, and substantially missing forecasts of 78k jobs being added. This is a sharp reversal in course from the largely better than expected U.S. labor data seen earlier this week.


Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

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