
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

- Dairy
By: Dairy Team - Chicago, Dairy Chicago

Barrel cheese was able to finish higher for the first time in 5 sessions trading 2.50 cents higher and back above the $1.50 mark. Blocks were also able to find willing buyers and are essentially flat on the week thus far. This for the most part kept Class III and Cheese at ease as they traded slightly lower with a bit more pressure seen in the back half of the year. Q1 futures continue to hold a significant premium to spot, which could be justified by stocks/use as we mentioned yesterday as well as a more competitive US cheese price on the world market.
Class III trading was slightly weaker with 1193 contracts trading but open interest rose by it’s highest level this week with 250 contracts added. We saw similar action in Cheese with futures trading 612 contracts while open interest rose by 235. January open interest continues to stay rather steady and from what we know in the CFTC reports, market participants, particularly speculative, are short. With nearby futures price near contract lows, don’t rule out another short covering rally.

US dairy retail prices continue to improve slightly for consumers, particularly for cheese. The U.S. retail price of Cheddar cheese in November was close to forecast at $5.65 per pound, down 20 cents from October and down 4.8% from last year. Butter was only slightly lower, down 3 cents from October but still 2.6% below last year.

Spot butter fell by 4 cents yesterday, taking out the mid November lows and seeing it’s lowest price since July 2023. Futures volume was slightly lower and bids likely retreated given now the 3 consecutive day of lower spot prices. Although spot prices made new lows, nearby futures did not and settled yesterday near the lows seen in mid-November which could act as a level of support today.
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Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


August 7 – The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23k jobs in July, dramatically below market expectations of an 80k increase and marking the worst Non-Farm Payrolls print since February. Furthermore, May and June were both revised sharply downward, with combined revisions showing 103k fewer jobs than previously reported. Outside of the healthcare sector, which added 22k jobs in July, the losses were very broad-based. Government payrolls saw the largest decline, shedding 53k jobs in July, the largest seen since October 2025, while June was revised down to show a loss of 10k jobs as well. The private sector at least saw growth, adding 30k jobs in July, now matching the month prior after it was revised down from the 49k initially reported, and substantially missing forecasts of 78k jobs being added. This is a sharp reversal in course from the largely better than expected U.S. labor data seen earlier this week.


Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

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