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ICCO Sees Cocoa Stocks Climb in 2021

By: Alexis Rubinstein, Managing Editor - Coffee Network

ICCO Sees Cocoa Stocks Climb in 2021

 
Alexis Rubinstein
Managing Editor
CocoaNetwork (New York) - The ICCO Expert Working Group on Stocks (EWGS) met today, Thursday 27 January 2022 to review the level of world cocoa bean stocks. The EWGS is composed of experts in the cocoa field who meet once a year, at the invitation of the ICCO, to review and analyse the results of the ICCO’s annual survey of cocoa bean stocks held in European warehouses as well as assess the level of global cocoa bean stocks. The survey is conducted every year (since 2000) and aims to improve transparency in the cocoa market. 
LOCATION OF THE ESTIMATED AND IDENTIFIED COCOA BEAN STOCKS30 September 201930 September 202030 September 2021
Stocks in cocoa importing countries1,0119871,106
Stocks in cocoa exporting countries215171256***
Stocks in South-East Asia  199
Total identified stocks1,266**1,158**1,561
Manufacturers’ stocks777595
Cocoa beans in transit8381107
Total estimated world cocoa bean stocks1,385**1,315**1,764
Total identified world stocks as a percentage of total estimated world stocks89%88%88%
Total identified stocks as a percentage of statistically derived stocks70%68%81%
ICCO statistically-derived stocks1,7311,7121,924

 

** Do not include stocks data from South-East Asia

*** Do not include data from Brazil

 

The EWGS now notes that, compared to the revised gap of 397,000 tonnes for the 2019/20 cocoa year, the current assessment indicates that the gap between the estimated cocoa bean stocks worldwide and the ICCO’s statistically-derived stocks data has declined to 160,000 tonnes for the 2020/21 cocoa year. This reduction is partly due to the inclusion of stocks from South-East Asia in the current assessment. However, the non-availability of stocks from some important producing countries contributed to the current divergence. While the ICCO Secretariat maintains, so far, its supply surplus estimate of 212,000 tonnes for 2020/21 as published in its latest QBCS, it may revise that figure in its next Bulletin due at the end of February 2022, taking into account the outcome of this survey. 
 
Alexis Rubinstein 
  • Cocoa

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