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Keurig Dr Pepper Reports Q3 2025 Results, Raises Full Year Net Sales Outlook and Reaffirms EPS Guidance for 2025

By: Alexis Rubinstein, Managing Editor - Coffee Network

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CoffeeNetwork (New York) - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ: KDP) today reported results for the third quarter of 2025, raised its full year constant currency net sales growth outlook, and reaffirmed its full year adjusted EPS guidance.

Commenting on the quarter, CEO Tim Cofer stated, "We are pleased with our third quarter results, which demonstrated robust growth in U.S. Refreshment Beverages and encouraging sequential progress in U.S. Coffee. Strong innovation and in-market execution drove market share gains across key categories, with sales momentum, along with disciplined actions to offset inflationary pressures, contributing to solid earnings and free cash flow growth. We are focused on sustaining our base business strength while also thoughtfully preparing for the transformation ahead as we first acquire and integrate JDE Peet's and subsequently separate into two, advantaged pure-play companies."

Third Quarter Consolidated Results

Net sales for the third quarter increased 10.7% to $4.3 billion. On a constant currency basis, net sales advanced 10.6%, driven by volume/mix growth of 6.4% and favorable net price realization of 4.2%. The acquisition of GHOST contributed 4.4 percentage points to volume/mix growth.

GAAP operating income increased 10.3% to $995 million, including a favorable year-over-year impact of items affecting comparability. Adjusted operating income increased 3.8% to $1,091 million and totaled 25.3% of net sales. GAAP and Adjusted operating income growth were driven by net sales growth and productivity savings, partially offset by the impact of inflationary pressures.

GAAP net income increased 7.5% to $662 million, or $0.49 per diluted share, including a favorable year-over-year impact of items affecting comparability. Adjusted net income increased 6.5% to $738 million and Adjusted diluted EPS increased 5.9% to $0.54, driven by the Adjusted operating income growth and benefits from minority investments.

Operating cash flow for the third quarter was $639 million and free cash flow totaled $528 million.

Third Quarter Segment Results

U.S. Coffee

Net sales for the third quarter increased 1.5% to $991 million. Favorable net price realization of 5.5% was offset by a volume/mix decline of 4.0%. Net sales growth reflected K-Cup pricing actions taken to combat inflation, partially offset by pod and brewer shipment declines.

GAAP operating income decreased 6.7% to $237 million, including an unfavorable year-over-year impact of items affecting comparability. Adjusted operating income increased 2.6% to $317 million and totaled 32.0% of net sales. Adjusted operating income growth was driven by net price realization and cost efficiency measures, partially offset by the impact of inflationary pressures.

International

Net sales for the third quarter increased 10.5% to $580 million. On a constant currency basis, net sales increased 10.1%, driven by favorable net price realization of 6.1% and volume/mix growth of 4.0%. Performance was led by healthy growth in key categories such as mineral water in Mexico and single serve coffee in Canada.

GAAP operating income decreased 2.5% to $153 million, including a favorable year-over-year impact of items affecting comparability. Adjusted operating income decreased 4.3% to $155 million and totaled 26.7% of net sales. The Adjusted operating income decline primarily reflected inflationary pressure, which more than offset the impact of net sales growth and productivity savings.

2025 Guidance

The 2025 guidance provided below is presented on a constant currency, non-GAAP basis. The Company does not provide reconciliations of such forward-looking non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures, due to the inability to predict the amount and timing of impacts outside of the Company's control on certain items, such as non-cash gains or losses resulting from mark-to-market adjustments of derivative instruments, among others, which could be material. Reconciling such items would require unreasonable efforts.

KDP now expects fiscal 2025 constant currency net sales growth in a high-single-digit range, revised from a mid-single-digit growth outlook previously. The Company's outlook for Adjusted diluted EPS growth in a high-single-digit range is unchanged. At current rates, foreign currency translation is forecasted to approximate a one half of one percentage point headwind to full year top- and bottom-line growth.

Alexis Rubinstein

  • Coffee

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