Daily Coffee Report 11/6/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
UPDATE:Coffee Growers Adjust Purchase Price of Lower-Grade Beans in Colombia Following the El Niño Phenomenon
Diana Delgado
Contractor
Coffee Growers Adjust Purchase Price of Lower-Grade Beans in Colombia Following the El Niño Phenomenon
(Adds details throughout the story)
Bogota (Coffee Network) The Coffee growers federation FNC adjusted the value of lower-grade beans known as Pasillas as the El Nino hit coffee plantations, FNC said.
The value of pasilla contained in parchment coffee will rise from 10,000 pesos per kg ($3.22) to 12,000 pesos per kg. This was announced by the National Federation of Coffee Growers (FNC), a measure that took effect in the last 24 hours to protect the income of Colombian coffee growers affected by the El Niño phenomenon.
Additionally, the FNC will recognize 30 coffee borer-damaged (brocado) grains as if they were export-grade (excelso) coffee, applying to all FNC coffee purchasing programs.
To mitigate the impact of the El Niño Phenomenon on coffee growers, the Federation also implemented a preventive plan starting in the second quarter of the year focused on soil nutrition and income protection. It fully executed a fertilization plan worth $40 billion pesos through Early Income Protection, funded by the Coffee Price Stabilization Fund (FEPC).
According to the CEO of the FNC, Germán Bahamón, "With the El Niño Phenomenon came a different threat that strikes silently; it will do so for months and will reach the 23 departments where coffee is cultivated." Hence, the preventive plan focused on soil nutrition and income protection.
In other words, greater financial relief is provided for the coffee portions affected by the weather. (During the threshing and sorting stage, pasilla is separated from excelso coffee, which is export-quality grain).
Despite not meeting the required standards for direct export, pasilla holds market value and is mainly traded to supply the local coffee industry.
The adjustment to the purchasing parameters announced by the Federation directly protects the coffee grower's income by giving higher value to grains affected by the drought, while the Purchase Guarantee policy will maintain its coverage to ensure that every coffee grower always receives the best possible price for their harvest.
"The Federation did not wait for the phenomenon to be declared. We planned for the worst-case drought scenario through March. Since October, we have reinforced control over the coffee borer, which doubled in 2026. We will stay very close to the coffee grower."
FNC did not say what is the percentage impact of broca on coffee plantations.
Colombia has been experiencing intense dry spells, with El Niño conditions producing above-average temperatures. The El Niño weather pattern is expected to last until April of next year, according to government weather agency IDEAM. The worst of the phenomenon may still lie ahead, with government sources stating they are working to avoid potential water and energy rationing. Medellin, the capital of Antioquia, began water rationing yesterday.
The country’s main crop accounts for roughly 55% to 60% of total national output, with harvesting concentrated in key producing departments including Huila, Antioquia, Caldas, Risaralda, Quindío, and Valle del Cauca. This harvest is being picked now until December.
Quality and Yield Stress
Exporter Café Laumayer noted growing concern over the lack of precipitation, despite a few isolated showers that provided temporary relief. For now, the primary impact remains on quality, particularly in regions situated below 1,500 meters above sea level where drought-shriveled beans (averanados) and broca damage are most prevalent.
"These issues will reduce the conversion factor from cherry to parchment on farms and elevate the yield factor at dry mills, resulting in less export-grade coffee (excelso) and a higher proportion of lower-grade coffee (pasilla)," the exporter said.
Juan Álvaro Arboleda, a prominent grower in southwestern Antioquia, reported that the municipality of Fredonia is among the hardest hit. In Ciudad Bolívar, where his farms are located, rainfall has been scarce and broca populations have surged, causing severe localized damage.
Yield factors—the amount of dry parchment required to produce a standard 70 kg bag of export-grade coffee—are testing at 98 kg to 100 kg or higher in damaged lots, indicating high infestation rates. Lower numbers represent higher bean efficiency and quality.
"The initial selective pickings (graneos) were harvested after a prolonged dry spell that caused heavy damage," Arboleda said. "There has been almost no rainfall in a month—just a few light showers—during a period when a good coffee crop should be coming down. Good coffees are coming out with yield factors of 94 to 96, while the average purchasing yield factor sits between 98 and 100."
Production Timelines and Regional Divergence
In terms of physical volume, current picking output in Antioquia remains low. A lack of major flowerings during January, February, and March is expected to keep harvest volumes subdued until October onward. However, recent water stress has induced secondary flowerings that could sustain picking activity through May of next year, contingent on weather patterns over the coming months.
According to Cenicafé’s agrometeorological bulletin No. 133, dry conditions are projected to intensify through September, with below-normal rainfall across most of the coffee belt. Historical precipitation levels are expected only in localized sectors of La Guajira, Magdalena, southern Huila, eastern Cundinamarca, Boyacá, southern Norte de Santander, and Caquetá.
Data from regional monitoring stations illustrates the deficit: the El Rosario station in Antioquia recorded 62 millimeters of rainfall in July, compared to a historical July average of 189 mm.
By Diana Delgado
Source: FNC
- Coffee
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