Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Canada and the U.S. will immediately intensify trade negotiations after President Trump ordered 50% tariffs on a broad range of Canadian exports, including agricultural products, alcohol, autos and hockey equipment, unless a deal is reached within 30 days. Carney rejected a piecemeal, sector-by-sector agreement and is pushing for a broader modernization of USMCA that addresses dairy protections, provincial bans on U.S. liquor and other trade disputes. Canada is also considering additional retaliation, but Carney said any reopening of provincial markets to American alcohol would only occur as part of a comprehensive agreement.
Analysts expect Friday’s July Cattle on Feed report to show July 1 feedlot inventories at 102.2% of last year, meaning cattle on feed are up 2.2%. June placements are estimated at 98.0%, down 2.0% from a year ago, while June marketings are projected at 97.0%, down 3.0%. The combination of placements falling less than marketings explains the larger on-feed inventory. For cattle futures, the report could be mildly bearish if USDA matches the average, since supplies remain above last year, but the lower placements would be supportive for deferred contracts. The biggest market reaction would likely come from placements: below 98% would be bullish, while a result near the high end of 99.8% or above would be bearish.
The yen’s slide to around 163 per U.S. dollar has strengthened its appeal as a low-cost funding currency for carry trades, where investors borrow cheaply and invest in higher-yielding emerging-market assets. Yen-funded positions have produced some of the strongest returns in 2026, but the decline has also revived concerns that Japanese authorities could intervene. To reduce that risk, some investors are diversifying by funding positions with euros and other currencies instead of relying entirely on the yen.
The London Stock Exchange plans to launch LSE 24, a new platform offering near-continuous trading outside normal market hours. The venue is expected to operate from 5 p.m. to 7:50 a.m. London time, with client testing planned by the end of 2026 and exchange-traded products scheduled to begin trading in the first half of 2027. Equities could be added later, subject to regulatory approval and market feedback. The move is aimed at attracting more international capital and competing with exchanges and alternative platforms that are expanding toward 24-hour trading.
Corn
B 1500 u 475 c 5 ½ to 5 5/8 vs 449 1/4
B 1000 sd u 500 c 5 5/8 to 5 3/4
B 3000 z 520 c 10 ¼ to 11 1/2
S 1500 z 630 calls 2 1/4
S 1000 sd u 450 p 5 to 4 7/8
S 900 u 470 c 6 ¾ vs 449 3/4
B 1000 u 460 c 9 7/8 vs 450 1/4
B 250 z 470 p 22 3/4
B 2000 u 520 c vs s u 425 p 2 3/8 cr vs 450 1/4
B 100 n 475/530 cs vs s 430 p 14 ¼ db
S 1000 zh -18 cso p 1
B 750 z 430/420 ps 2
B 300 z 510/530 cs 3 3/4
S 750 u 420 p 3 1/8
B 300 z 500/550 cs 8 ½ to 8 5/8
S 150 w5 new crop 475 p 8 5/8 to 8 1/2
B 500 v 450 p 9 1/8
S 1500 w1 new crop 475 straddles 19 ½ to 19 1/8
On a block
B 500 z 475 c 23 3/8 vs 473
Beans
S 500 q 1230 c 3 1/2
S 2000 x 1220 p 44
B 250 x 1240 c 37 to 37 1/2
B 100 x 1200/1140 ps 22 1/4
S 700 sd u 1240 c 19 3/4
B 500 x 1300 c 20
B 400 qx -5/+5 cso cs 2
S 300 x 1200 p 32 to 31 3/4
Soymeal
B 400 q 330 c 1.55
B 400 q 315 p .60
B 1000 u 310 p 2.95 to 3.05
S 150 z 330 c 14.65 vs 327.7
S 200 u 315 p 4.10
Bean oil
B 300 z 75/8250 cs 1.510
B 500 v 73/80 cs vs s 68 p .820 db
B 200 z 67 p 1.800
S 300 q 74 c .750
Wheat
S 1000 u 700 c 18 to 16 7/8
S 500 u 680/660 ps 11 7/8
B 200 u 620 p 7 1/8
S 1500 u 670/720 cs 14 1/4
B 150 u 740 c 10
B 1000 u 690/720 cs vs s 620 p 5/8 to 1 ¼ db
B 300 u 700 c 18
B 500 u 730/810 cs 9 3/8
Kc wheat
B 1000 q 740/760 cs 4 1/2
S 150 z 690 p 28 ½ vs 739
B 200 z 600 p 5 1/2
Hogs
Bought 100 oct 88/80 put spreads vs selling the 96 calls paying 1.700
Bought 20 july 98/90 put spreads 3.200 to 3.225
Bought 450 Aug 102/104 call spread 1x2 paid .25 up to .275
Bought 300 Aug 104c /98p combo paying .200 covered 101.60
Sold 200 Oct 80/94 calls spread @ 2.15 down to 2.125
Bought 500 Dec 76/72 put spread paid 1.225 up to 1.30
Sold 100 Sept 91 calls @ 1.80
Sold 150 Dec 70/85 strangle @ 3.05
Bought 500 Oct 90 calls pay 2.65 up to 2.80
Sold 200 Feb 80/82 Strangle @ 8.425 down to 8.40 covered 82.575
Sold 200 Oct 84 puts @ 1.725 down to 1.70
Sold 100 Dec 79/70 put spread v 87 calls @ 1.50
Bought 100 April 70 puts paid .65 up to .675
Sold 450 Oct 90 calls @ 2.525 down to 2.50
Bought 400 Dec 80 puts paid 4.60 up to 4.80
Live Cattle
Bought 650 Feb 230/200 put spread paid 10.40 up to 10.450 covered 224.425
Sold 300 Oct 231 puts @ 3.55 covered 224.15
Sold 100 Oct 210 puts @ 2.30 covered 222.50
Bought 200 Oct 248 calls paid .5750
Bought 250 Aug 212 calls paid 1.0250
Sold 100 Feb 210 puts @ 4.975 down to 4.95
Bought 400 Aug 220 puts paid 1.15
Bought 100 Oct 223/213 put spread v. 234 calls paid 1.35 up to 1.3750
Sold 150 Oct 230 calls @ 4.05 down to 3.75
Sold 200 Aug/Sep 239/226 call spread Cal @ 3.825 down to 3.775
Feeder Cattle
Bought 100 Sept 346/330 put spread paid 5.80
Bought 100 Sept 340/326 put spread paid 4.575









This material should be construed as the solicitation of an account, order, and/or services and represents the opinions and viewpoints of the individual authors or presenters. It does not constitute an individualized recommendation or take into account the particular trading objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual customers.
The views are current only through the date stated and are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions, and StoneX Group Inc. (“SGI”) disclaims any responsibility to update such views. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided.
References to certain OTC products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets, LLC (SXM), a member of the National Futures Association (NFA) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ and who have been accepted as customers of SXM.
StoneX Financial Inc. (SFI) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Advisor. StoneX Financial (Canada) Inc. (SFCI) is registered in Canada and is a member of CIRO and CIPF. References to certain securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to certain exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI. Wealth Management is offered through SA Stone Wealth Management Inc., member FINRA/SIPC, and SA Stone Investment Advisors Inc., an SEC-registered investment advisor, both wholly owned subsidiaries of SGI.
R.J. O’Brien & Associates, LLC (RJO) is registered with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and is a member of NFA.
StoneX Financial Ltd (SFL) is registered in England and Wales, company no. 5616586. SFL is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) (registration number FRN:446717) to provide services to professional and eligible customers including: arrangement, execution and, where required, clearing derivative transactions in exchange traded futures and options. SFL is also authorized to engage in the arrangement and execution of transactions in certain OTC products, certain securities trading, precious metals trading and payment services to eligible customers. SFL is authorized and regulated by the FCA under the Payment Services Regulations 2017 for the provision of payment services. SFL is a category 1 ring-dealing member of the London Metal Exchange. In addition SFL also engages in other physically delivered commodities business and other general business activities which are unregulated and not required to be authorized by the FCA.
This communication is issued in the European Economic Area by StoneX Financial Europe GmbH (SFEG). StoneX is the trade name used by STONEX GROUP INC. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries. StoneX Financial Europe GmbH (“SFEG”) is a securities trading firm registered in Germany under Company No. HRB 80844.
StoneX Financial Pte Ltd (Co. Reg. No 201130598R) (“SFP”) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and is a Capital Markets Service Licence holder (for dealing in capital market products), an Exempt Financial Adviser (for advising on investment products and issuing or promulgating analyses/ reports on investment products) and a Major Payment Institution (for domestic and cross-border money transfer services).
SFP may distribute analysis/report produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the StoneX Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations Recipients should contact SFP at (65) 6309 1000 for any matters arising from, or in connection with, this webinar.
StoneX APAC Pte. Ltd. (“SAP”) (Co. Reg. No 200616676W) is regulated as a Dealer (PS20190001002) under the Precious Stones and Precious Metals (Prevention of Money Laundering and Terrorism Financing) Act 2019 for purposes of anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism.
StoneX Financial (HK) Limited (CE No.: BCQ152) (“SHK”) is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission for Dealing in Securities and Dealing in Futures Contracts.
StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (ACN 141 774 727) holds an Australian Financial Service License (AFSL: 345646) for Dealing in Securities, Exchange-Traded Derivatives Contracts, OTC Derivatives Contracts and Foreign Exchange Contracts, and is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission.
StoneX Securities Co., Ltd. (“SSJ”) (Co. Reg. No 010401047199) is regulated by the Japanese Financial Services Agency as a Type-I Financial Instruments Business Operator (Kanto Local Finance Bureau (FIBO)No.291’), is a member of the Financial Futures Association of Japan for dealing and broking FX and FX Option transactions, and is a member of the Japan Securities Dealers Association for dealing and broking stock indices and option transactions.
Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance of any futures or option is not indicative of future success. Indicators are not a trading system and are not published as a specific trade recommendation. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.
The report/analysis herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.
© 2026 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.