
Daily Coffee Report 8/10/26
Daily coffee report

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By: Diana Delgado, Contractor

Colombia’s Coffee Production Falls 28% in November Year-on-Year
Bogotá (Coffee Network) — Colombia, the world’s third-largest coffee producer, harvested 1.26 million 60-kg bags in November, down 28% from 1.761 million bags in the same month last year, the National Federation of Coffee Growers (FNC) reported.
The decline extends the trend seen in October and reflects the production adjustment expected for the second half of the year, driven by adverse weather that reduced flowering and bean development, the federation said.
In October, production reached 1.208 million bags, down from 1.339 million bags a year earlier, as torrential rains disrupted flowering and lowered yields, according to FNC figures.
Over January–November, however, output totaled 12.44 million bags, slightly above the 12.199 million recorded in the same period of 2024.
Colombia’s main harvest, which runs from September to December, typically accounts for about 60% of annual production and is concentrated in Caldas, Risaralda, Quindío, Valle del Cauca, Antioquia, and parts of Huila. Heavy rainfall could extend the harvest into January, the federation added.
Based on current results, cumulative production between July and December is now projected at 7.1mn bags, about 12% lower than in the same period last year. FNC said its technical analysis—based on visits and measurements at more than 2,000 farms—initially forecast a decline of nearly 1mn bags, a scenario that November’s figures confirm.
In the 12-month period, Colombia produced 14.242 million bags.
Exports edge higher
Colombia’s coffee exports totaled 12.05 million bags in January–November 2025, a 9% increase from the same period in 2024.
The National Federation of Coffee Growers outperformed the market with 23% export growth, lifting its share to 20.7% of total shipments. This trend, the federation said, underscores the sector’s ability to maintain a strong international presence despite tighter domestic supply.
Imports also rose. Preliminary figures show 84,000 bags imported in November, double the volume from the same month in 2024. Over the past 12 months, imports reached 1.06mn bags, largely to meet industrial demand and supply roasters. The removal of U.S. tariffs on all coffee origins is also helping normalize competitive conditions, according to FNC.
Domestic consumption remained firm at 2.27 million bags year-on-year, signaling stable demand at higher price levels.
Although the first half of the year concludes with the anticipated reduction in output, stronger exports and resilient consumption highlight the sector’s stability. The immediate priority, FNC said, is to capitalize on price stability while advancing fertilization, renovation, and operational scaling.
By Diana Delgado
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Daily coffee report


August 10 – The world commodity markets and economy remains at risk amid two wars this morning. Tensions continue to escalate in both the Middle East and the Black Sea – risking pulling other countries into the conflicts. Stocks are down modestly this morning as we start a week of trade in which we’ll see key inflation and retail sales data following a weak jobs report this past Friday. Yet, stocks continue to trade just below record high levels, with the VIX trading near 2026 lows just above 15. The dollar index is trading near 99.7. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.68%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.23%. The energy and food-based markets are firmer today amid the escalated risks. WTI crude oil is trading near $80, while Brent trades near $85 per barrel. Double-digit gains in the winter wheat markets lead the way for higher grain and oilseed prices.


August 7 – The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23k jobs in July, dramatically below market expectations of an 80k increase and marking the worst Non-Farm Payrolls print since February. Furthermore, May and June were both revised sharply downward, with combined revisions showing 103k fewer jobs than previously reported. Outside of the healthcare sector, which added 22k jobs in July, the losses were very broad-based. Government payrolls saw the largest decline, shedding 53k jobs in July, the largest seen since October 2025, while June was revised down to show a loss of 10k jobs as well. The private sector at least saw growth, adding 30k jobs in July, now matching the month prior after it was revised down from the 49k initially reported, and substantially missing forecasts of 78k jobs being added. This is a sharp reversal in course from the largely better than expected U.S. labor data seen earlier this week.

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