
Daily Coffee Report 8/6/26
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By: Diana Delgado, Contractor

Colombia To Face New Cold Front, Preventing Coffee Flowering
Coffee Network (Bogota)- After enduring torrential rainfall linked to several cold fronts that have prevented the occurrence of the critical coffee flowering stage, Colombia is expected to face a third cold front this week.
The Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM) warned that highly unstable weather conditions are expected across much of the country during the week of Monday, February 23, to Friday, February 27, 2026, due to the arrival of a new cold front and its interaction with other atmospheric systems.
The official forecast, issued to the National Disaster Risk Management System (SNGRD) and the National Environmental System (SINA), predicts a significant increase in rainfall, cloud cover, winds, and waves, with the greatest impact between February 23 and 25.
January and February are usually dry months, but a new cold front moving from the Northern Hemisphere toward the Caribbean has triggered alerts from authorities due to the unusual increase in rainfall during this period. The National Unit for Disaster Risk Management (UNGRD) warned that the phenomenon could cause flooding, flash floods, landslides, and storm surges especially in the Caribbean region.
The presence of the cold front, in conjunction with the monsoon trough and the Panama Low, is creating conditions conducive to heavy rainfall in several regions of the country. The phenomenon will have significant impacts on the Caribbean Sea, especially on the archipelago of San Andrés, Providencia, and Santa Catalina, as well as in the western Caribbean, where an increase in wind and wave intensity is anticipated.
Mauricio Rivera, general manager of the Huila’s coffee cooperative Coocentral, said January was the rainiest seasonal month in recent years, with rainfall exceeding 200 millimeters in some areas. The second half of the year's harvest requires flowering, which typically occurs between January and March each year.
In Antioquia, large coffee growers like Juan Alvaro Arboleda, said rainfall has been inclement, not allowing the typical flowering season to take place in the Southeast of the department, the largest coffee-producing region. Antioquia picks its main harvest in September-December and the lack of flowering could damage the harvest.
“The sun does not come out. This is preventing the hydric stress from planting,” he said.
Growers harvest the main crop mainly from October to December in the central provinces of Antioquia, Caldas, Quindio, Risaralda, some parts of Huila and North of Valle, and a mid-year crop -- mainly for Cauca, Narino and Huila -- from April to June.
According to the agency, the cold front will cause significant alterations in sea conditions, with wave heights that could range between 2 and 3.5 meters in areas of the central Colombian Caribbean coast, including parts of Bolívar, Sucre, Córdoba, Atlántico, and Magdalena. These conditions will be reinforced by the atmospheric instability accompanying the system, which will increase the probability of heavy rainfall in the Caribbean region, the northern and western Andean region, and the Pacific region.
For the archipelago of San Andrés, Providencia, and Santa Catalina, the Ideam (Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies) forecast a considerable increase in wind speed, with values between 30 and 50 kilometers per hour and isolated gusts that could exceed these speeds. Additionally, waves between 2.3 and 3.2 meters are expected, accompanied by intermittent rain, with particular emphasis on Tuesday, February 24.
According to the most recent situational report from the National Unit for Disaster Risk Management (UNGRD), as of Saturday, 94,431 families—equivalent to 254,531 people—have been affected by the persistent rains that have fallen in 17 departments of the country.
The report indicates that 149 emergencies have been reported in more than one hundred municipalities. The preliminary tally reports at least 17 deaths, 11,216 hectares flooded, 18,232 homes damaged, and 4,099 homes destroyed.
Which department has been most affected so far?
According to the UNGRD (National Unit for Disaster Risk Management), the department of Córdoba is experiencing the greatest impact from a cold front—currents of cold air that displace warm air and can cause heavy rains and storms. Two deaths, 10 injuries, and 70,424 affected families have been reported there. Furthermore, 11,077 hectares remain underwater, representing 98.76% of the total affected land nationwide.
Cordoba Governor Erasmo Zuleta stated that the situation does not end when the waters recede. “The emergency doesn't end when the water goes down. That's when the hardest part begins: starting over. Rebuilding doesn't take days, but months, even years,” he said After Córdoba, the departments with the highest number of affected families, according to the official report, are La Guajira (11,286), Antioquia (3,886), Chocó (3,393), and Sucre (1,562). In this latter region, the overflowing of the Cauca and San Jorge rivers keeps communities in La Mojana and San Jorge on high alert.
By Diana Delgado
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Daily coffee report


August 6 – This morning’s stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data offered markets some relief, reinforcing confidence in the economy while giving the Fed greater flexibility to raise rates should inflationary pressures reaccelerate in next week’s July data. Stock futures are pointing to a mixed open to start the day, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq showing the most weakness. The VIX has fallen notably from yesterday’s spike above 18.4 as it starts the day hovering just below the 16-mark. The dollar is quietly higher as it trades just above 99.8, holding in the tight range seen thus far this week as traders continue to digest data to shape expectations for the Fed’s next move, which we’ll dive into in more depth below. Long-term treasury yields have relaxed slightly from their recent spike, with 30-year yields starting the day trading just above 5.19%, while 10-year yields trade above 4.64%, and 2-year yields sit below 4.22%. Crude oil is modestly higher to start the session after sharp declines earlier in the week, with nearby WTI up 1.8% to trade at $76.40 and nearby Brent up 2.4% to trade at $81.40. Meanwhile, the ags are quietly mixed to start the day.


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