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Daily Coffee Report - 11/29/2023

By: StoneX Coffee Team, Softs Coffee Miami

Coffee Ends with Little Change
 
StoneX Coffee Team
 

Arabica coffee futures for March delivery settled 40 points lower at 172.70 cents a pound. Activity remained subdued with the volume reaching only 29,258 lots. Without fundamental news, the session was dominated by short term specs playing both sides of the market. The active nearby March / May switch remained firm ending at 280 supported by good buying interest. After staying in a well-defined range since the beginning of the year, – 145 and 0, the switch inverted rapidly during the last two weeks trading up to 340 yesterday, as the idea of a possible shortfall in the short term has been accompanied by the withdraw of the certified stocks. Since the beginning of November the cert stocks have declined 129,338 bags. The dollar firmed today adding some weight on the Latin American currencies. The real devaluated 0.5% affected by new rule increasing the capital requirement for banks. Cert stocks decreased by 33,764 bags to 259,800 bags. Pending grading added 1,535 bags to 28,090 bags.

Robusta Jan24 contract settled at $2523 -16 with a 2535/2495 range. A weaker day in Robusta largely dragged lower with Arabica giving up some of the gains from yesterday. Origin selling certainly backed off and did not seem to be chasing the market lower. Commercial buying was not seen. Most of the selling was coming from Speculative long liquidation. Structure weakened off again Jan/Mar saw a 50/60 range on nearly 7k lots.  Robusta Jann24 2750 calls vs 2520Δ12 traded 1500x @ 14, Robusta CSO Jan24/Mar 90 put traded 1000x @ 47, Robusta CSO Jan24/Mar 90 call traded 1000x @ 10.

At the time of writing

USDBRL 4.8907 +0.39%

USDCOP 3992.7 +1.00%

Coffeeorderdesk@stonex.com    

Miami                                                London                                Brazil                           

305-925-4847                                  +44-203-580-6099            +55-11-3509-5426     

ICE Arabica

Volume:

29,258

ICE Robusta

Volume:

24,494

Brazil Arabica

Volume:

517

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage
Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage
Arabica Switches
Robusta Switches
 
 
  • Coffee

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