
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

- Dairy
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By: Dairy Team - Chicago, Dairy Chicago

Long liquidation was part of the Class III trade on Thursday as futures opened higher and closed lower. Spot cheese drove the selling midday as barrel cheese fell 5 cents to $1.8900 on 6 trades. Block cheese also turned lower closing down 1.5 cents at $1.9550 on 4 trades. Fresh cheese has made its way to the exchange all week, but yesterday was the first time prices really moved lower. Futures sold off well into 2025 but the overall volume was light and open interest fell – primarily in August and September – reflecting a good bit of long-liquidation in the market. Overall, 1,083 Class III and 466 Cheese contracts changed hands and open interest fell by 62 contracts in Class III and rose by 81 in Cheese.
When the market prices fall but trading volumes are light and open interest declines it is said that the weakness is, well not very weak. Long liquidation is not new aggressive selling that typically lasts. Spot cheese can fall more here, but before we turn ultra-bearish we ought to note that the barrel market was 3.75 cents lower just last week. $1.8525. On Monday July 1, the price of barrel was $1.8525. Much like the futures markets, which have been quite choppy lately, so to is spot cheese. We expect that to continue to close out the week.
Spot Dry Whey gets an honorable mention as the only US spot dairy market to close higher yesterday. Whey pushed over 50 cents for the first time since late February as that market is in a full re-test of the 2024 high price print of 53.00. Whey futures couldn’t be more uninspired by the recent spot strength. While option activity has increased this week – well into 2025 – just 9 futures contracts changed hands yesterday with once contract (October) closing higher on the day – 1 penny higher at 50.50. Spot is now the highest price on the board, but before we go talking “backwardated” bullish markets, we’ll just call this a really flat market for now as the trade waits for some fresh news including a Japanese tender underway.
While butter futures got a lighter volume bump yesterday despite another half-penny decline for the Spot price, NFDM futures saw all the action was on Thursday. 570 NFDM futures contracts changed hands and open interest increased by 357 contracts through December 2025! 2024 contracts were mixed mostly firm while sellers plunked bids in 2025 leaving prices unchanged to 3.4 cents lower by the closing bell. We don’t know the driving force of the 2025 selling, but our guess would be its of the hedge variety in light of the weakening global price picture lately (GDT Pulse, etc.). It should be noted that the 2025 weakness – in most cases – is the futures market re-testing prior lows set back in late April.
Only two regions in the country have culled more dairy cows this year than they did last year. Slaughter in the regions that are known to have the bird flu are stronger, however a majority of regions are still very weak.

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Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


August 7 – The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23k jobs in July, dramatically below market expectations of an 80k increase and marking the worst Non-Farm Payrolls print since February. Furthermore, May and June were both revised sharply downward, with combined revisions showing 103k fewer jobs than previously reported. Outside of the healthcare sector, which added 22k jobs in July, the losses were very broad-based. Government payrolls saw the largest decline, shedding 53k jobs in July, the largest seen since October 2025, while June was revised down to show a loss of 10k jobs as well. The private sector at least saw growth, adding 30k jobs in July, now matching the month prior after it was revised down from the 49k initially reported, and substantially missing forecasts of 78k jobs being added. This is a sharp reversal in course from the largely better than expected U.S. labor data seen earlier this week.


Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

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