
Daily Coffee Report 8/10/26
Daily coffee report

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By: Alexis Rubinstein, Managing Editor - Coffee Network
CoffeeNetwork (New York) - Today Fairtrade is launching a new Living Income Reference Price for coffee from Uganda. A farmgate price of 11,640 Ugandan shillings per kilo of parchment coffee is needed to enable living incomes for Arabica coffee farmers in Uganda. Also a proxy reference price of 7,150 shillings was calculated for a kilo of Fair Average Quality (FAQ) Robusta coffee.
The good news is that Arabica coffee currently sells at 10,000-11,000 shillings and even reached 12,000 shillings over the past months on the Ugandan market – more than double the price from 2019 during the coffee price crisis – which shows that sustainable prices are in fact within reach!
Better still, the Dutch company Fairtrade Original has already committed to paying the Living Income Reference Price to their Ugandan supplier, Ankole Coffee Producers Cooperative Union (ACPCU), even if the market price falls.
Fairtrade convened local stakeholders in Uganda, including producers, technical staff of producer and support organizations, coffee researchers and industry representatives, to jointly analyse farm economic baseline data and define realistic targets for each of the key income drivers. The resulting Living Income Reference Prices were then validated by these local experts. Details of the targets and reference price calculation can be found here.
ACPCU’s projects officer, Derrick Komwangi, participated in the stakeholder dialogue and commented: “The establishment of a Living Income Reference Price has been mind-blowing to us as an organization. Key things have stood out: viable land size and sustainable production. And this has shown that in order for us to make a decent living as farmers, we need to work on productivity and the Living Income Reference Price does exactly that. It gives farmers leverage on their quality of coffee and enough revenue to invest in order to get the right volumes for them to sell.”
With this third reference price, an African coffee origin is added to the list, following Colombia in 2021 and Indonesia earlier this year – a good time to reflect on some differences and similarities across the three coffee origins.
An income gap analysis, which forms part of the reference price discovery process, reaffirms the enormous diversity of coffee farmer realities across origins, requiring tailored approaches and strategies to achieve living incomes.
For instance, farm size: while a farmer with three hectares of productive coffee in Colombia could make a living income from selling coffee alone, farmers in Indonesia and Uganda have relatively small plots of land, and often grow other crops among their coffee bushes or diversify their income sources in other ways.
Also, while coffee farmer families in Colombia and Indonesia typically have four members, the average household in Uganda is twice as large. Extended households in combination with coffee plots of less than an acre (0.4 hectare) make it all the more necessary to complement coffee income with other income sources to reach a living income.
Farm productivity also varies widely. A target yield of 1800 kg of dried parchment coffee per hectare might be quite feasible for conventional coffee farmers in Colombia, while organic farmers in Indonesia and Uganda set their sustainable target yields lower at 6000 kg cherry (equivalent to 1200 kg of parchment) and 1600 kg parchment per hectare respectively, based on their coffee growing conditions. Even so, Ugandan and Indonesian farmers will have to make considerable effort to almost double their current yields in order to reach those targets. The farm investments needed to reach these productivity targets are factored into the Living Income Reference Price calculation.
An interesting finding from the Uganda baseline analysis was that many farmers underutilize the adult labor force in their household, who could spend more of their time working on their farms to implement sustainable agricultural practices and save on hired labor costs. However, the uncertain return on their labor investment due to price instability demotivates farmers to make the extra effort.
At the same time, hired labor becomes scarce as young people abandon agriculture in search for more attractive livelihood opportunities elsewhere. This in turn leads to neglected, low yielding farms and creates a vicious cycle of low income and low investment.
There are low-hanging fruits that can improve the incomes of coffee farmers. For instance, significant productivity improvement and savings could be made in Indonesia if organic compost wasn’t so hard to get. Colombian producer organizations already show important results from setting up local bio-fertilizer factories to provide for its members at low cost.
But in Uganda, the gaps are huge. To attain the target yield. To diversify farm revenues. Today the market price is close to the Living Income Reference Price. If farmers could rely on these prices to be sustained, they would be encouraged to invest in their farms and make them more productive.
Farmers also need long-term sourcing relationships with committed commercial partners such as Fairtrade Original to secure a decent return on their investment.
According to Lotje Kaak, Fairtrade Original Business Development Manager, “Living income is a journey and therefore it is important to establish long term collaboration with our partners, like ACPCU. We want to achieve living incomes for coffee farmers by paying them the thoroughly-researched Living Income Reference Price and developing projects to further improve their incomes. This way we take the lead in bringing about the highly needed change in the coffee industry.”
In order to close the gaps and make living incomes a reality, all actors in the supply chain need to assume their responsibility. Shoppers also play a role by choosing products that contribute to living income goals.
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Daily coffee report


August 10 – The world commodity markets and economy remains at risk amid two wars this morning. Tensions continue to escalate in both the Middle East and the Black Sea – risking pulling other countries into the conflicts. Stocks are down modestly this morning as we start a week of trade in which we’ll see key inflation and retail sales data following a weak jobs report this past Friday. Yet, stocks continue to trade just below record high levels, with the VIX trading near 2026 lows just above 15. The dollar index is trading near 99.7. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.68%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.23%. The energy and food-based markets are firmer today amid the escalated risks. WTI crude oil is trading near $80, while Brent trades near $85 per barrel. Double-digit gains in the winter wheat markets lead the way for higher grain and oilseed prices.


August 7 – The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23k jobs in July, dramatically below market expectations of an 80k increase and marking the worst Non-Farm Payrolls print since February. Furthermore, May and June were both revised sharply downward, with combined revisions showing 103k fewer jobs than previously reported. Outside of the healthcare sector, which added 22k jobs in July, the losses were very broad-based. Government payrolls saw the largest decline, shedding 53k jobs in July, the largest seen since October 2025, while June was revised down to show a loss of 10k jobs as well. The private sector at least saw growth, adding 30k jobs in July, now matching the month prior after it was revised down from the 49k initially reported, and substantially missing forecasts of 78k jobs being added. This is a sharp reversal in course from the largely better than expected U.S. labor data seen earlier this week.

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