
Daily Coffee Report 6/8/26
Daily coffee report

- Coffee
By: Alexis Rubinstein, Managing Editor - Coffee Network

CoffeeNetwork (New York) - The Indonesian government trade data from Sumatra reported that the islands robusta coffee exports for the month of November were 61.43% higher than the same month last year, at a total of 568,362 bags. The island nation’s cumulative robusta coffee exports for the first eight months of the current April 2025 to March 2026 coffee year are now 4,675,384, an increase of 84.57% from the same period in the previous year.
The Indonesian Coffee Exporters Association ICEA have reported that the recent widespread heavy rainfall and flooding caused by tropical storm systems, will potentially impact coffee exports during the current coffee year by 15%, which is expected to be reflected in the coming December 2025 export reports. This follows widespread disruptions to local livelihoods in parts of Sumatra and Aceh. The development of the new April 2026 to March 2027 coffee crop will be monitored and perhaps reviewed, in the weeks ahead.
Earlier this month, the USDA pegged the country’s 2025/2026 coffee crop at 12.5 million 60-kg bags, marking a significant rebound from previous years. Robusta was expected to reach 11.0 million bags, reinforcing Indonesia’s position as the world’s third-largest robusta producer. While Arabica is forecast at 1.5 million bags, though recent weather events may temper these gains.
However, late December 2025 brought widespread flooding to northern Sumatra, affecting nearly one-third of Arabica farms. Southern Sumatra saw precipitation exceeding 300mm/month, raising concerns over bean quality and mold. Industry groups warn exports could fall by up to 15% for specialty Arabica grades. BMKG predicts a return to neutral conditions by Q1 2026 as La Niña weakens, offering hope for a stable wet season.
Producers are implementing urgent measures to safeguard quality and mitigate losses:
Despite logistical challenges, green bean exports are forecast at 7.8 million bags, supported by a weaker rupiah, which should boost competitiveness on the international market. The EU remains the largest importer of Indonesian Robusta coffee, so compliance with the upcoming EU deforestation regulation will be mandatory. For Arabica imports, the US is the leader and a new trade agreement is expected by late January, which should ease current tariffs. Indonesian coffee is also benefiting from emerging markets like Japan, Egypt, Malaysia, and China, particularly for robusta and soluble coffee.
Overall, Indonesia’s coffee sector is poised for a record-breaking year, but the combination of climate volatility, regulatory hurdles, and shifting consumer trends underscores the need for resilience and innovation. Farmers and exporters are adapting quickly—whether through advanced processing, financial safeguards, or sustainability protocols—to keep Indonesia’s coffee flowing from farm to cup.
Alexis Rubinstein
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Daily coffee report


June 8 – Stocks are looking to rebound to start the week after an ugly Friday selloff centered most heavily in the tech sector, with the Nasdaq seeing its largest ever one-day point decline and sharpest percentage loss since April of last year. Nerves appear to be calming on Wall Street as well, with the VIX down over 13% on the day, hovering near 18.7 after spiking to its high since April at 21.57 on Friday. The dollar has fallen back below 100 after closing above it for the first time in two months on Friday, trading at 99.85 at the time of writing. Treasuries are starting the week slightly in the red as well, with 10-year yields trading near 4.52% and 2-year yields trading near 4.13%. The ags are quietly mixed at the break, with soybeans selling off rather sharply in the overnights before bouncing back to hang more narrowly in the red at present, while the protein wheats are clinging to small gains.


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