Protectionism is no longer a background risk but an active force reshaping global trade relationships as of early 2026. Following renewed tariff threats and geopolitical posturing discussed at Davos, markets are beginning to price a gradual fragmentation of long-established trade routes. While equity indices have remained resilient, the underlying structure of global commerce is shifting away from seamless integration. These insights are drawn directly from a primary-source interview conducted during the Davos forum, offering a real-time view of how market participants interpret policy signals.
Alex Ridgers, StoneX Global Head of Retail Dealing Desk, oversees real-time risk management across global macro and multi-asset markets. His perspective is shaped by daily exposure to cross-border flows and client positioning, giving him a front-row view of how geopolitical shifts translate into trading behavior and capital allocation.
Key Themes from the Discussion
Global trade is increasingly shaped by political blocs rather than pure economic efficiency.
European policymakers are exploring alternative trade partnerships to reduce reliance on the United States.
Markets remain calm in the short term despite longer-term risks of structural fragmentation.
Protectionism Encourages Europe to Rebalance Trade Alliances
Protectionism is prompting European economies to reassess their exposure to U.S.-centric trade and services. Alex Ridgers notes that "we're beginning to see in the long term... this unwinding where up until now, countries have tried to satiate" U.S. policy pressure. This shift reflects a strategic decision to diversify trade relationships rather than rely on confrontation or concession. As a result, new regional and cross-bloc agreements are becoming a central feature of Europe’s trade strategy.
Global Trade Fragmentation Alters Market Risk Assessment
Global trade fragmentation is changing how investors assess geopolitical and economic risk. Ridgers highlights that nations are actively trying to "move around Trump and this sort of predatory leader" by forming alternative trade pathways. This behavior reduces the efficiency of global markets but increases resilience for individual blocs. Consequently, investors may need to reprice assets exposed to long supply chains and politically sensitive trade flows.
Sign up for the latest Market Outlook Reports
From detailed guides on how to trade major assets to quarterly market outlooks and special reports, we offer FREE access to the articles you need to successfully implement "global macro" style trading!
--- Written by Frédéric Guétin, StoneX TV Producer
--- Expert: Alex Ridgers, StoneX Global Head of Retail Dealing Desk
Currencies
The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer. This content is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure section for entity-specific disclosures. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.
Our market expertise, advanced platforms, global reach, culture of full transparency and commitment to our clients’ success all set us apart in the financial marketplace.
Reach
With access to 40+ derivatives exchanges, 180+ foreign exchange markets, nearly every global securities marketplace and numerous bi-lateral liquidity venues, StoneX’s digital network and deep relationships can take clients anywhere they want to go.
Transparency
As a publicly traded company meeting the highest standards of regulatory compliance in the markets we serve; our financials and record of accomplishment are matters of public record. StoneX’s commitment to “doing the right thing over the easy thing” sets us apart in the industry and helps us build respect, client trust and new partnerships.
Expertise
From our proprietary Market Intelligence platform, to “boots on the ground” expertise from award-winning traders and professionals, we connect our clients directly to actionable insights they can use to make more informed decisions and achieve their goals in the global markets.