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Market Intelligence

Gain the edge you need to succeed in the commodity and financial markets: our Market Intelligence team delivers cutting-edge research and analysis you won't find anywhere else.

CME Cash Market Summary

Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

Dairy Team - Chicago
Dairy Team - Chicago
  • Dairy

Brazil's Public Debt Path Anchors the Real as Runoff Polls Sit Tied

Brazil's tied presidential runoff has turned Brazilian public debt into the deciding variable for the Brazilian real. Markets link one outcome to fiscal adjustment and a firmer currency, and the other to rising debt and a sharp devaluation.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Currencies

Fed Decision and Core PCE Put USD/CHF's Fragile Uptrend Under Strain

USD/CHF has pulled back from a fresh yearly high after a U.S. inflation-driven reversal, and the Federal Reserve decision and core PCE data now arrive a day apart. Together the two releases test a pivot zone that separates a routine pullback from a deeper correction in the yearly uptrend.

Michael Boutros
Michael Boutros
  • Currencies

Perspective: Morning Commentary for October 21

October 21 – Stock futures are pointing to a strong open, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq following yesterday’s SpaceX earnings which we’ll touch on in more depth below. The VIX is off slightly to start the day, hovering near 17.1 at the time of writing, its lowest level so far this week. The dollar is sitting just below unchanged, near 101.71, after touching a three-week low just above 101.5 yesterday. Treasury yields are lower to start the day, with 2-year yields trading at 4.774%, 10-year yields at 5.098%, and 30-year yields at 5.409%. Crude oil is modestly lower, with nearby WTI and Brent both down 0.8% to trade near $97.40 and $107.90, respectively. The ags are widely in the red, with the sharpest losses seen in the wheat complex amid this week’s fresh push for diplomacy between Russia and Ukraine.

Mike Castle
Mike Castle
  • Grains & Oilseeds
  • Energy
  • Dairy
  • Renewable Fuels
  • Meats & Livestock
  • Forest Products

Bigger U.S. Soybean Crop Fails to Loosen a Tightening Balance Sheet

A bigger U.S. soybean harvest is meeting crush, biofuel and Chinese demand strong enough to shrink ending stocks. That balance explains why harvest pressure trims soybean rallies but leaves a floor under the market.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Grains & Oilseeds

UK Borrowing Overshoot Leaves Sterling Short of Support Into Budget

UK government borrowing is running billions of pounds above official forecasts, and the overshoot is limiting how far sterling can rally on Bank of England rate hike expectations. Fiona Cincotta explains why hotter inflation has done little for the pound heading into the Budget.

Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta
  • Currencies

Swaps Traders Price a Steeper RBNZ Path Than the Central Bank Itself

Swaps markets are pricing a far steeper Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate path than the central bank itself projected. Imported energy inflation and a weaker New Zealand dollar sit behind the gap, putting the September quarter inflation report under pressure.

David Scutt
David Scutt
  • Interest Rates

French Bond Spread Hits Multi-Year High as Fiscal Doubts Weigh on Euro

The French-German bond spread has broken to multi-year highs as investors question France's ability to deliver meaningful fiscal consolidation. Combined with rising oil prices and weaker German sentiment, the widening spread makes a convincing bullish case for the euro harder to build.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada
  • Currencies

Europe's Heating Oil Season Arrives as Diesel Supply Remains Squeezed

Winter demand for diesel and heating oil is rising just as Europe's supply remains tight, with export bans and Gulf disruption still in play. Geopolitics, not crude fundamentals, now decides if that squeeze eases or deepens.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Energy

Fertilizer Inventories Run Thin as Every Buyer Waits for the Last Day

Fertilizer inventories across North America are running smaller than normal as farmers, retailers, and distributors all delay purchases. Lessons from past boom-and-bust cycles and the Strait of Hormuz disruption are pushing delivery and price risk onto the final buyer.

Josh Linville
Josh Linville
  • Fertilizers

Daily Coffee Report 10/20/26

Daily coffee report

StoneX Coffee Team
StoneX Coffee Team
  • Coffee

Precious Metals Weekly Front Desk Presentation 102026: AI, monetary policy and gold; OECD recommendations to the IMF/World Bank meetings

A document with a substantial number of slides and text, built for the Front Desk internal call and analysing market developments, the economic and political background and key market parameters influencing the precious metals. This week includes material on the Precious Metals, notably Gold's lively action; Powell and the Fed, EU and potential margin compression

Rhona O'Connell
Rhona O'Connell
  • Precious Metals

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Whitepapers

Seeking a more comprehensive look at your topics of interest? Our market-expert driven whitepapers deliver greater financial analysis through extensive research and meticulous attention to detail.

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Podcasts

Go deeper into the world of finance and trading with our ever-current StoneX podcasts. Our experts help inform your strategy with thought-provoking conversation that go beyond your typical news article.

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Access expert-led, on-demand webinars from StoneX analysts around the world. Stay informed with in-depth discussions on global markets, designed to support and strengthen your strategy.

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Education

Take control of your cash flow and improve your balance sheet with StoneX's comprehensive education, tailored to meet your specific needs and goals in the commodities and financial markets.

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Glossary

Our glossary of trading terms, investment topics and in-depth research is designed to give you a better understanding of the financial markets. Improve your knowledge and enhance your strategies with our glossary.

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Thought leadership

Delve into expert financial analysis and opinion by industry insiders from across market sectors. StoneX thought leadership offers deep insights and actionable guidance designed to put you a step ahead of the competition.

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Upcoming events

October 21

FIGAP 2026

Third party events|North America|Language: Spanish

October 21 - October 23, 2026

Guadalajara, México

Únase a StoneX en FIGAP 2026 en Guadalajara, México, y visítenos en el Stand #313. Conozca cómo ayudamos a los productores de alimento para animales a gestionar el riesgo de mercado mediante Operaciones OTC, Commodities Físicos, Gestión de Riesgos y Soluciones de Venta y Negociación.

Descubra cómo StoneX combina acceso al mercado, información y ejecución para ayudar a las empresas a tomar decisiones informadas en mercados agrícolas dinámicos.

Más información

October 21

BAFT Regional Bank Conference

Third party events|North America|Language: English

October 21 - October 22, 2026

Houston, TX

Join StoneX at the BAFT Regional Bank Conference at Amegy Bank in Houston, October 21-22, for a discussion on the global developments and political risk considerations shaping today's banking landscape.

Katherine Zaveri will moderate a fireside chat with Gayle Jacobs, U.S. Canada Political Risk Leader at Marsh, exploring the issues banks should be aware of in an increasingly interconnected world.

Learn More

October 23

World of Coffee Panamá

Third party events|Central America|Language: Spanish

October 23 - October 25, 2026

Panama City, Panama

StoneX asistirá a World of Coffee Panamá, el primer evento World of Coffee organizado en América Latina. Visite el Stand #14422 para conectarse con nuestros especialistas en el mercado de café, conversar sobre inteligencia de mercado y conocer más sobre la gestión del riesgo de precios del café.

Más información
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