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Daily Coffee Report 9/30/26

By: StoneX Coffee Team, Softs Coffee Miami

Arabica coffee began the session with firm support above 287 following the previous two sessions. It also gained support from strength in Robusta, which traded above the 200-day moving average near 3,510 in the early hours, reaching a daily high of 3,553 before correcting later in the session.

Meanwhile, currencies continued to show volatility and provide additional support. The U.S. Dollar Index made a new low early in the day at 101.02, then traded back up to 101.52 after the coffee session ended. USD/BRL strengthened to 5.16, where the 200-day moving average serving as a key level. This was a sizable move from yesterday’s 5.24.

The Arabica December 2026 contract settled at 290.70, with the last trade at 289.90. Prices remained above nearby support at 287, but pulled back considerably from the session high of 298.80. Traders will watch to see whether the market breaks below 287.00, potentially moving back toward the previous support level at 277.00.

After the close, the certified stocks report showed an addition of 4,933 bags, bringing total certified stocks to 260,654 bags. The December/March switch saw perhaps the most dramatic action, reaching a high of 9.50 before settling at 7.85, near the session low of 7.80. Traders will watch for further downside if it breaks below 7.00, with the next support area at 6.30–6.50.

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ICE Arabica

Source: Refinitiv 
Source: Refinitiv 
Source: Refinitiv

Volume: 26,692

ICE Robusta

Source: Refinitiv 
Source: Refinitiv 
Source: Refinitiv

Volume:

35,701

Brazil Arabica

Source: Refinitiv 
Source: Refinitiv

Volume:

894

Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage

Source: Refinitiv 

Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage

Source: Refinitiv 

Arabica Switches

Robusta Switches

Source: Refinitiv 
                             Source: Refinitiv 
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