
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

- Dairy
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Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


Silver is holding long-term support while tech stocks absorb fears of a slower AI data center buildout. The shared AI link between the two markets makes the metal's resilience a cross-asset read on risk sentiment.

Safe-haven Treasuries are drawing support from two directions, a tech selloff and a slide in oil prices. Lower oil eases inflation concerns, adding a second driver to the decline in U.S. Treasury yields.


November 6 – Volatility remains high on Wall Street this morning, as we add the monthly jobs report to the post-election market correction. The Nasdaq dropped sharply on Thursday amid a fear that the Democrats taking over Congress would create major challenges for tech companies – especially those involved with AI. It’s trying to bounce this morning, but the headlines over AI risks continue to flow. Today’s jobs report should help to redirect some of that focus momentarily, but the possibility of more volatility clearly remains with us. As such, the VIX – Wall Street’s “fear index” – is trading near 27 at this hour. My observation over the decades is that commodity assets struggle to sustain rallies when the VIX is above 30, unless that asset has a strong story of its own. The dollar index is trading near 102.3. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.86%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.53%. WTI crude oil is trading near $91, while Brent trades near $98 per barrel. The grain and oilseed sector traded mixed overnight, with wheat posting double-digit losses, while corn and soybeans were either side of unchanged in early trade.


The FTSE 100's light tech exposure is cushioning it while U.S. chip makers and AI stocks sell off. The gap shows how sector mix decides which markets absorb a Wall Street tech shock.


Opposition to AI data centers has become a new source of risk for tech stocks after the U.S. midterm elections. Pledges to slow construction now add to existing doubts over the returns on AI spending.


Nov WASDE Estimates


Daily CME spot dairy market price summary


Brazil's distillers grains market is shaped by regional logistics around ethanol plants in Mato Grosso, not by national export totals. Rising corn ethanol output has absorbed China's growing demand, and the DG to corn price relationship shows if that balance holds.


Payrolls and CPI arrive back to back, giving the U.S. dollar index a two-step test of Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. Labor data sets the first read, and the inflation update tests how well that read holds.


Wall Street is treating a divided Congress as a source of policy stability rather than a threat. Lower Treasury yields and fewer expected policy surprises are feeding the equity rally that followed the U.S. midterm elections.


November 5 – Stock futures are pointing to a mixed open after yesterday’s surge higher, with the Dow Jones looking to add to yesterday’s 3% gain and potentially flirt with pushing to three-month highs, while the tech heavy Nasdaq is looking at a lower open as money rotates out of tech, and the S&P 500 is caught in the middle. The VIX remains notably lower than recent weeks, though up slightly from yesterday’s close, hanging near 16.8 at the time of writing. The dollar is rebounding from yesterday’s losses amid unexpectedly strong U.S. labor market data this morning, reinforcing hawkish Fed bets, as it trades near 101.65. Treasury yields are higher to start the day as well, with 2-year yields trading at 4.618%, 10-year yields at 4.909%, and 30-year yields at 5.288%. Crude oil is bouncing after incredibly sharp losses in recent days, with nearby WTI currently up 2% on the day to trade near $89.80 and nearby Brent up 2.6% to trade near $97.10. Meanwhile, the ags are higher at the break as they look to find a rebound of their own.

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