
Precious Metals StoneX 110326; Deep dive into US mid-terms; scenario analysis
Potential key changes if the Democrats take both Chambers

- Precious Metals
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Gold and silver markets are entering a decisive phase as of 22 May 2026, with traders closely watching whether the U.S. Dollar finally weakens alongside falling bond yields and softer energy prices. Precious metals would normally benefit from declining Treasury yields and easing crude oil markets because lower inflation expectations reduce pressure on real assets. However, the U.S. Dollar index continues holding above the 99 level, preventing a broader rebound in bullion prices. Consequently, gold and silver remain vulnerable to renewed downside pressure despite improving macro conditions for safe-haven assets.
Razan Hilal, Market Analyst at FOREX.com, specializes in macro-driven technical analysis across currencies, commodities, and global risk assets. Her perspective is particularly relevant during periods where precious metals, energy prices, bond yields, and foreign exchange markets become tightly interconnected through shifting inflation expectations and geopolitical risk flows.
Gold prices remain vulnerable because U.S. Dollar resilience is outweighing the supportive impact of softer bond yields and weaker crude oil prices. Razan Hilal, Market Analyst at FOREX.com explains that "we have a stability for the US dollar index above the 99 mark", reinforcing downside pressure even as inflation-linked assets begin easing. Consequently, traders are increasingly focused on whether gold can continue holding the critical 4,460 to 4,440 support zone without triggering a broader liquidation move. A sustained breakdown below these levels could accelerate selling pressure toward the 4,300 and 4,130 zones, resulting in renewed concern about the durability of the broader precious metals rally.
Silver markets are displaying a more bearish technical structure as momentum indicators continue weakening below neutral territory. Razan Hilal, Market Analyst at FOREX.com notes that "we can see more of a bearish bias" with price action remaining below a previously respected upward channel from March 2026. As a result, the 72.70 to 70.30 support region is becoming increasingly important for determining whether silver stabilizes or extends its longer-term retracement. Specifically, a sustained move below these levels could expose downside targets near 63.80, 56.70, and potentially the broader multi-decade consolidation zone around the 48 level, reinforcing caution across industrial and investment demand expectations.
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--- Written by Lindo Xulu, StoneX TV Journalist
--- Expert: Razan Hilal, Market Analyst at FOREX.com
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