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May 2026 Market Seasonality – Would “Sell in May” Be a Misplay Nowadays?

Historically, May has been a solid if unremarkable month for US stocks, with the broad S&P 500 index sporting an average (price-only) return of +1.0% over the last 35 years.

Matt Weller
Matt Weller
  • Equities

Carbon Risk Is Now Embedded in Commodity Pricing

Carbon risk has shifted from a compliance afterthought to a core pricing variable in global commodity markets. As regulation tightens and expands across regions and supply chains, traders are being forced to price emissions intensity alongside freight, quality, and volume.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Carbon

Geopolitical Risk Is Moving Oil Prices More Than Supply

Oil prices have surged toward key resistance levels, but the move is being driven less by tightening supply and more by escalating geopolitical risk. With uncertainty rising around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, crude markets are pricing a risk premium even as underlying fundamentals remain broadly stable.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Energy

Australian Dollar Caught Between Metals Volatility and Dollar Moves

The Australian dollar is increasingly being driven by sharp swings in metals markets rather than domestic policy signals. As volatility intensifies across gold, silver, and copper, currency pricing is becoming more reactive to global risk dynamics.

Matt Simpson
Matt Simpson
  • Currencies

Fed Decision Versus Holiday Expectations in Determining Market’s Next Move

The swoon in liquidity through the Thanksgiving holiday period helped to stall a larger turn in speculative markets. Can its restoration revive the bulls or are conditions systemically shifted?

John Kicklighter
John Kicklighter
  • Currencies

How Article 6 Could Build Credible Global Carbon Markets

COP30 marked a turning point for global carbon governance as Article 6 moved from negotiation to implementation. New financial structures and digital systems are redefining how carbon markets gain scale, credibility, and impact.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Carbon

Forex, Indices, Fixed Income: What Markets are Global Macro and Why?

The term global macro gets thrown around frequently in financial circles — often as shorthand for “the big picture.” But for many investors, the phrase remains opaque. What exactly is a global macro market? More importantly, why should we care?

John Kicklighter
John Kicklighter
  • Currencies

Nasdaq and S&P 500 Lead Risk Swoon but Bull Trend Intact Without a Tangible Thematic Threat

There was a distinct ‘risk aversion’ shift in the global macro markets this past week lead by the US benchmark. However, the technical foundations of the bull trends remain intact with little event risk, disengaged systemic themes and seasonal expectations factoring in.

John Kicklighter
John Kicklighter
  • Currencies

Oil Prices Surge as Middle East Tensions Escalate | Focus on Fuels

Alex Hodes and Trevor McClanahan analyze how Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure are impacting oil prices, diesel, propane, and global supply risks.

Alex Hodes
Alex Hodes
  • Energy

Oil Markets 2025: Sanctions, OPEC Strategy & Trump’s Impact on Prices

Oil prices are at a tipping point. With sanctions tightening and OPEC holding firm, markets remain volatile. Will Trump enforce tougher policies? Get the latest insights.

Alex Hodes
Alex Hodes
  • Energy

US Bank Earnings; US CPI; China GDP: Top Event Risk Ahead

The global macro, economic docket hosts some serious event risk over the coming week; but that isn’t what raises the risk of tangible market movement.

John Kicklighter
John Kicklighter
  • Currencies

FOMC, BOJ, and China Data: Key Global Macro Events This Week

Though there are certainly a number of high-profile events scheduled for release over the coming week, there is no question as to which release will be top billing. The FOMC rate decision on Wednesday has a basic level of awareness that is usually well above most other global macro listings even in the slowest of times.

John Kicklighter
John Kicklighter
  • Currencies
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