Periods of calm are often mistaken for safety, but low volatility can quietly undermine trading performance. As markets lose momentum and direction, traditional signals weaken and patience is tested. Heading into 2026, subdued price action is reshaping how risk is expressed and managed. The challenge is no longer surviving swings but identifying when stagnation becomes costly.
Alex Ridgers, StoneX Global Head of Retail Dealing, examines how subdued volatility is altering trading behavior and forcing sharper decision-making.
Key Themes from the Discussion
Falling volatility is reducing the effectiveness of directional trading strategies.
Extended periods of calm increase the cost of holding stagnant positions.
Select breakouts matter more as broad market moves fade.
Low volatility narrows trading ranges and removes the urgency that often drives decisive positioning. Ridgers points to the dollar as a clear example, noting that dollar index volatility is close to its lowest level since 2021. This reflects a market that has largely accepted stability and stopped reacting to incremental news. As he observes, “the markets have almost ignored the dollar”.
Why Discipline Matters More Than Conviction
In quiet markets, conviction alone rarely delivers results without precise execution. Ridgers argues that capital tied up in non-moving trades carries an unseen opportunity cost that grows over time. His approach emphasizes flexibility, explaining that “if you're sat in a stock that is just going to stagnate, get out of it”. He believes that the ability to exit quickly and redeploy capital becomes the defining edge when volatility stays low.
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--- Expert: Alex Ridgers, StoneX Global Head of Retail Dealing
Equities
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