Daily Coffee Report 6/12/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
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Can Brazil Become the Top Robusta Coffee Producer?
Can Brazil Become the Top Robusta Coffee Producer?
Fernando Maximiliano, StoneX Brazil Market Intelligence Manager, outlines how Brazil is rapidly accelerating its robusta coffee production to compete with global leader Vietnam.
Key Takeaways
- Brazilian robusta yields now far exceed those of arabica due to government research and tech adoption
- Vietnam remains top producer, but Brazil is gaining rapidly through industrialized farming
- Global robusta demand is rising thanks to cost, yield, and resistance advantages over arabica
The Rise of Robusta and Its Resilience
While arabica has been cultivated commercially for centuries, robusta only began gaining ground in the early 20th century. Robusta’s key advantage lies in its hardiness. It thrives at lower altitudes and withstands diseases and heat better than Arabica. “It all started because robusta has different characteristics... it can stand better with diseases and weather conditions”.
Vietnam Leads but Brazil Is Catching Up
Vietnam began robusta cultivation in earnest during the 1980s, with production ramping up in the 1990s due to policy reforms and the end of trade sanctions. “Since 1990s, the production increased a lot and Vietnam became the largest robusta coffee producer”. Meanwhile, Brazil’s robusta output has grown more gradually since the 1920s, supported by sustained investment in research and yield optimization.
The Commodity Cycle and Farmer Strategy
Maximiliano explains the commodity cycle that drives investment. Rising consumption pushes prices up, incentivizing greater production. In today’s high-price phase, Brazil’s farmers, who treat farming as an industry, are investing in technology and yield optimization.
Productivity, Innovation, and the Road Ahead
Yield comparisons are striking: “Arabica... maybe 27 bags per hectare... robusta... between 65 to 70 this year”. In some cases, robusta reaches up to 200 bags per hectare. Investments in automated irrigation, fertilization, drones, and crop protection are boosting Brazil’s competitiveness. “All of that leads to higher yield and again, making the Brazilian coffee more competitive”.
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---- Written by Frederic Guetin, StoneX TV Producer
---- Expert: Fernando Maximiliano, StoneX Brazil Market Intelligence Manager
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