Daily Coffee Report 10/13/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
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CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary
Dairy Team - Chicago
- Dairy
Perspective: Morning Commentary for October 13
October 13 – Stock futures are pointing to a mixed open as the tech sector sells off both in the U.S. and Asian markets amid a fresh round of AI jitters ahead of upcoming third quarter earnings season. The big banks are kicking off that earnings season today, with mixed results thus far as Goldman Sachs showed a huge earnings beat with its second-best quarterly revue on record, though JPMorgan Chase had a headline earnings miss, taking out some momentum. Traders will continue parsing through this morning’s data and reacting in turn, with more big earnings reports on deck in the days ahead. The VIX is off to a relatively muted start, holding near 15.3 at the time of writing. The dollar is giving back yesterday’s gains as it trades 0.35% lower at the time of writing to hang near 102.2 after closing at a fresh 18-month high on Monday. Treasury yields are mixed as trade resumes, with the front-end of the curve higher and long-end lower this morning, as 2-year yields rise back near 4.80% but 10-year yields fall to 5.206%, and 30-year yields fall to 5.559%. Crude oil is quietly lower to start the day, with nearby WTI down 0.3% on the day to trade near $92.90 and nearby Brent down close to 1% to trade near $105.60. The ags are quietly mixed, with selling pressure seen overnight but fresh escalations in the Black Sea that we’ll dive into below providing support.
Mike Castle
- Grains & Oilseeds
- Energy
- Dairy
- Renewable Fuels
- Cocoa
- Coffee
- Cotton
- Sugar
- Meats & Livestock
- Forest Products
British Pound Range Traders Watch the Monthly Open as Key Resistance
The British pound is coiling inside a tightening monthly opening range right on top of yearly support against the U.S. dollar. The monthly open is the first barrier for any recovery, and weekly momentum is still holding the line below.
Editorial Team
- Currencies
El Niño Is Helping Brazil's Arabica and Putting Robusta to a Heat Test
El Niño is bringing helpful rainfall to Brazil's arabica regions while raising heat stress risk for robusta in Espírito Santo. Beyond Brazil, dry weather in Indonesia and the timing of Vietnam's next flowering put robusta supply at the center of coffee's weather risk.
Editorial Team
- Coffee
Cotton's Supply Balance Tightens as Consumption Pulls Ahead of Output
Global cotton consumption is rising while production falls, tipping the cotton supply and demand balance after two flat, low-price years. The shift is reshaping import demand from Pakistan to Bangladesh and bringing price activity back to the market.
Editorial Team
- Cotton
Diesel Supply Gets Squeezed as Gasoline Escapes the Worst of Outages
Refinery outages in Russia and the Middle East are mostly removing middle distillates, leaving diesel supply under far more strain than gasoline. As gasoline demand fades with the season and winter heating demand builds, diesel and gasoline margins are moving on different paths.
Editorial Team
- Energy
Daily Coffee Report 10/12/26
Daily coffee report
StoneX Coffee Team
- Coffee
Argentina's Investors Turn to Duration but Still Wait on the 2027 Vote
Argentina's investors are trading daily arbitrage for duration and company fundamentals as peso volatility fades. Exchange controls and the 2027 election still decide how far that shift can go.
Editorial Team
- Interest Rates
CME Cash Market Summary
Daily CME spot dairy market price summary
Dairy Team - Chicago
- Dairy
Perspective: Morning Commentary for October 12
October 12 – Geopolitics are the feature to start the week, with major weekend escalations in the Middle East and a surprising U.S. / Russian agreement throwing a wrench into Black Sea diplomacy. Stock futures are pointing to a quietly mixed open as traders attempt to digest the weekend developments, as well as prepare for this week’s September inflation data, and look ahead to the upcoming third quarter earnings season. The VIX is elevated to start the week but remains near the low-end of 2026’s range, hovering near 15.5 at the time of writing. The dollar continues to march higher, though it does appear to be running into resistance every time it approaches the 102.5 level, currently trading near 102.42 this morning. U.S. bond markets are closed today in observance of Columbus Day, though Treasury futures will be trading normally. Crude oil is rising following the weekend escalations, with nearby WTI up 2.15% at the time of writing to trade near $93.65, while nearby Brent is up 1.9% to trade near $106.70, a nearly four-week high. The ags are largely mixed to start the week, with the market finding its footing following Friday’s surprises in USDA’s October WASDE report.
Mike Castle
- Grains & Oilseeds
- Energy
- Dairy
- Renewable Fuels
- Cocoa
- Coffee
- Cotton
- Sugar
- Meats & Livestock
- Forest Products
Houthi Attacks on Saudi Arabia Open a Second Front in Oil Supply Risk
Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure are adding a second source of Middle East oil supply risk, alongside shipping disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. New Russian diesel volumes ease some tightness in refined products but do nothing to calm the Gulf.
Fiona Cincotta
- Energy
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