Arabica Coffee Extends Lower and Robusta Remains Firm
Arabica coffee futures for March delivery on the NY ICE Exchange closed 250 points or 1.3% lower due to liquidations by speculators in view of bearish fundamental conditions and weak technical behavior. The volume reached 52,040 lots, including 16,777 switches. The nearby March / May switch was early losing some premium but recovered by the close to end unchanged at 3.25 cents. This March /May has dropped 46% from the 650 premium it traded on Tuesday. Speculative selling was noted today as favorable weather in Brazil and good rain forecasts for the coming days continue to improve expectations for the 2024/25 Brazilian harvest. At the same time, operators continued digesting the latest harvest estimate published by an important trading house yesterday that hints a bearish scenario. Open interest decreased by 3,012 lots in yesterday's session, reflecting the liquidation of long players. The OI had increased by 5,832 lots since January 18 as new long positions boosted the recent rally. Certified stocks decrease by 3,142 bags to 254,336 bags. Pending grading added 10,365 to 64,278 bags. No grading today.
In London, the Robusta market remained firm. The most active contract for March delivery settled $44 or 1.37% higher at $3251 a ton, after trading in a 3262/3162 range. Good industry buying supported the market at the lows briefly triggering speculative short covering. Concerns about the flow of fresh coffee from Vietnam continue among dealers due to the Red Sea disruptions and farmers reluctance to sell. The harvest in Vietnam is almost over and analysts expects a drop of near 7% from the previous crop, which has caused an unusual hoarding of coffee from the farmers that wait for higher prices.
At the time of writing
USDBRL 4.9174 -0.33%
USDCOP 3939.4 +0.55%
Miami London Brazil
305-925-4847 +44-203-580-6099 +55-11-3509-5426
ICE Arabica
Volume:
52,040
ICE Robusta
Volume:
23,901
Brazil Arabica
Volume:
602
Arabica-Brazil Arbitrage
Arabica-Robusta Arbitrage
Arabica Switches
Robusta Switches
The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. References to over-the-counter (“OTC”) products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets LLC (“SXM”), a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ (“ECP”) and who have been accepted as customers of SXM. StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser. References to securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI . StoneX is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd (“SFL”). SFL is registered in England and Wales, Company No. 5616586. SFL is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 446717] to provide to professional and eligible customers including: arrangement, execution and, where required, clearing derivative transactions in exchange traded futures and options. SFL is also authorised to engage in the arrangement and execution of transactions in certain OTC products, certain securities trading, precious metals trading and payment services to eligible customers. SFL is authorised & regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Payment Services Regulations 2017 for the provision of payment services. SFL is a category 1 ring-dealing member of the London Metal Exchange. In addition SFL also engages in other physically delivered commodities business and other general business activities which are unregulated and not required to be authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority. StoneX Group Inc. acts as agent for SFL in New York with respect to its payments services business. StoneX APAC Pte. Ltd. acts as agent for SFL in Singapore with respect to its payments services business. ‘StoneX’ is the trade name used by StoneX Group Inc. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries.
Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance of any futures or option is not indicative of future success. Indicators are not a trading system and are not published as a specific trade recommendation. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.
© 2024 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.