StoneX Trading Logo

Gold Record High Price Pushes RSI Into Overbought Zone

The price of gold rallies to a fresh record high ($2844), with the ongoing rise in bullion pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory.

Written by
David Song
David Song

Strategist

Share:

Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD

The price of gold rallies to a fresh record high ($2844), with the ongoing rise in bullion pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory.

Gold Record High Price Pushes RSI Into Overbought Zone

The move above 70 in the RSI is likely to be accompanied by a further advance in gold like the price action from last year, and the upcoming changes to US trade policy may keep the precious metal afloat as it clouds the outlook for global growth.

Join David Song for the Weekly Fundamental Market Outlook webinar.

 

In response, monetary authorities may come under pressure to insulate their economy even though President Donald Trump delays tariffs for Mexico and Canada, and the risk of a policy error by major central banks may lead to higher gold prices as it offers an alternative to fiat currencies.

With that said, the price of gold may extend the advance from the start of the week as it initiates a series of higher highs and lows, but the RSI may show the bullish momentum abating should it struggle to hold in overbought territory.

XAU/USD Price Chart – Daily

Gold Price Daily Chart 02042025

Chart Prepared by David Song, Senior Strategist; XAU/USD on TradingView

  • The price of gold stages a four-day rally to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70 for the first time since October, with a break/close above $2850 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) opening up $2940 (78.6% Fibonacci extension).
  • Next area of interest comes in around $3000 (161.8% Fibonacci extension), but lack of momentum to a break/close above $2850 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) may pull the RSI back from overbought territory.
  • Failure to hold above $2790 (50% Fibonacci extension) may push the price of gold back towards $2730 (100% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 2630 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to $2660 (23.6% Fibonacci extension).

Additional Market Outlooks

US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Vulnerable amid Threat of Trade War

USD/CAD Clears 2020 High as Trump Tariff Looms

EUR/USD Pulls Back Ahead of December High

GBP/USD Holds Below 50-Day SMA Ahead of BoE Rate Decision

--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist

Follow on X at @DavidJSong

Get our guide to central banks and interest rates in 2025

Web Trader platform

Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Open an account today

Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.

Economic calendar

Related articles

Gold and S&P 500 analysis: What now after Warsh’s hawkish speech?

The dollar surged across the board after the Fed Chair Kevin Warsh surprised with a hawkish-leaning speech at the Jackson Hole summit. All the bearish dollar bets that had been accumulated since last Friday on the back of data weakness and bond market troubles had to be squared and that triggered a short squeeze rally for the dollar. Gold and silver dropped, as a result, as too did bitcoin, while US indices were giving back earlier gains.