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Gold and S&P 500 analysis: What now after Warsh’s hawkish speech?

The dollar surged across the board after the Fed Chair Kevin Warsh surprised with a hawkish-leaning speech at the Jackson Hole summit. All the bearish dollar bets that had been accumulated since last Friday on the back of data weakness and bond market troubles had to be squared and that triggered a short squeeze rally for the dollar. Gold and silver dropped, as a result, as too did bitcoin, while US indices were giving back earlier gains.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

DAX, FTSE and S&P 500 forecast: Major indices bounce back as risk appetite improves

Investors are also expecting further rate cuts from major central banks, even if there was a bit of hawkish repricing of US interest rates following Powell’s comments at the FOMC presser last week. Still, easing of monetary policy is driving stocks higher, while the recent extension of a trade truce between the US and China means appetite for AI-related stocks remains strong, with earnings also largely being positive this reporting season.

S&P 500 forecast: Stocks in need of fresh catalyst

The S&P 500 has been bolstered by a bullish run that began in April. It’s been a steady climb, with several tailwinds lifting sentiment along the way — from Trump’s decision to delay reciprocal tariffs deadline, a welcome calming of tensions in the Middle East, to the US approving the “big, beautiful bill” of tax and spending policies that form the core of Trump's second-term agenda.