Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Hits a Make or Break Wall 7 16 2026
AUD/USD is trading into pivotal resistance at the upper bounds of a multi-month downtrend. Aussie battle lines drawn.
Written by
Michael Boutros
Sr. Technical Strategist
Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Australian dollar rallies toward major resistance as RBA rate hike odds swing sharply and the US Dollar Index continues to weaken. Michael Boutros, Senior Market Analyst at FOREX.com, breaks down the key levels driving the move and what traders are watching next.
This content was created by an affiliate of FOREX.com and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of Forex.com, StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by FOREX.com.
Key Economic Data Releases
Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.
Active Short-term Technical Charts
- British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Breakout Attempts Major Trend Reversal
- US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Uptrend Faces Make-or-Break Test After CPI
- Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Coils Above Critical Support- Decision Time
- Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Bulls Try to Carve Out a Low After 30% Drop
- Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Coils Below Resistance—Breakout Looms
- Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Holds Major Support—Reversal Risk Builds
- Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Overbought Rally Tests Major Resistance
--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist
Follow Michael on X @MBForex
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.
Open an account today
Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.
Economic calendar
Related articles
Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Pullback Nears Pivotal Uptrend Support 8 28 2026
Warsh's comments accelerated the EUR/USD selloff, raising the stakes as buyers look to stabilize the broader recovery.
Gold and S&P 500 analysis: What now after Warsh’s hawkish speech?
The dollar surged across the board after the Fed Chair Kevin Warsh surprised with a hawkish-leaning speech at the Jackson Hole summit. All the bearish dollar bets that had been accumulated since last Friday on the back of data weakness and bond market troubles had to be squared and that triggered a short squeeze rally for the dollar. Gold and silver dropped, as a result, as too did bitcoin, while US indices were giving back earlier gains.
EUR/USD forecast: All eyes on Warsh at Jackson Hole - Forex Friday
For much of this week, the EUR/USD has been edging lower with the US dollar regaining some ground after last week’s sell-off that was triggered, in part, by the bond market worries. Investors have been unwilling to bet further against the US dollar so far this week ahead of Kevin Warsh’s keynote speech at the Jackson Hole summit, due later today.