
EUR/USD Bounce Hits a Wall of Fed Hawks and French Finances
The EUR/USD forecast hinges on U.S. CPI after five straight weekly losses, with hawkish Fed bets and a fully priced ECB rate hike weighing on the euro.

Market Analyst
The EUR/USD forecast hinges on U.S. CPI after five straight weekly losses, with hawkish Fed bets and a fully priced ECB rate hike weighing on the euro.
Fawad Razaqzada, StoneX Media Market Analyst, explains how the five-week downtrend, U.S. inflation data and crude oil prices shape the euro and U.S. dollar outlook.
With CPI expectations well defined, a meaningful surprise is needed to trigger a strong dollar move. Crude oil prices and bond yields remain key dollar drivers as Middle East military activity remains high, while French government finances weigh on the single currency.
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