
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: NDX falls as oil jumps 5%, Treasury yields rise
U.S. stocks are set to open lower, with the Dow Jones leading the move south as U.S. oil prices jump 5% and Treasury yields rise, stoking inflation concerns.
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U.S. stocks are set to open lower, with the Dow Jones leading the move south as U.S. oil prices jump 5% and Treasury yields rise, stoking inflation concerns.

The new trading week is underway and the Nasdaq 100 is once again displaying a meaningful bullish bias in the short term. This can be seen in the index's recent performance, which has gained more than 2.1% over the last three trading sessions, returning once again to record-high territory.

U.S. stocks are falling at the start of Q4, as gains in software stocks offset concerns over soaring Treasury yields. U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 10-year yield up 2 basis points at 5.31% and the 30-year at 5.66%, multi-decade highs.

The headlines seem negative in almost any place that you look, with surging Treasury yields and frothy AI valuations getting more and more attention. But, if it’s so bad, why hasn’t the Nasdaq melted down yet, even as the Fed has started hiking rates?

U.S. stocks are pointing to a weaker open on Monday after President Trump rejected an Iranian ceasefire, sending oil prices higher and fuelling inflationary concerns and pushing Treasury yields higher.

Nasdaq strength contrasts with mounting Dow pressure as rising Treasury yields raise the stakes for stocks heading into the monthly close.

There's still an open door for a melt-up in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq but the Dow and Russell 2000 are looking more vulnerable, and until calm hits the Treasuries market there's a higher probability for volatility. The big question is whether that's a next quarter theme or not.

EUR/USD and Nasdaq Price Outlook: Overbought/oversold momentum on hourly and daily time frames is raising reversal risks across the U.S. dollar, EUR/USD and Nasdaq after a strong weekly advance.

U.S. stocks are heading for a modestly stronger start as investors awaited developments over potential talks between the U.S. and Iran.

The trading week is getting underway with renewed bullish momentum across Nasdaq. This is reflected in today's session, where the index has gained more than 2.5%, highlighting a buying bias that has not been observed with this level of strength in several weeks.

The fear on the long end of the Treasury curve has taken a step back even as two-year notes saw a massive jump in yield last week. But looking at stocks rallies appear set for resumption with the bull flag in the S&P 500 giving way to an early-week breakout.

Lower oil prices, semiconductor strength and improving technical momentum are helping Nasdaq futures overcome a hostile backdrop of higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.

The response to the rate hike was a strong Thursday outing but ever since Kevin Warsh took over atop the Fed there’s been a shift in equity markets.