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Gold forecast undermined by rising yields and oil prices

Gold was higher first thing this morning, extending its gains made on Friday when softer US retail sales data undermined the dollar. But with the US-Iran situation continuing to drag on, oil prices are remaining elevated, and this is helping to keep inflationary pressures intact and supporting bond yields. For that reason, my gold forecast remains cautious for now and expect the metal to potentially ease back after staging a decent rally in the couple of weeks. For now, though, it was holding steady, awaiting direction from bond and oil markets.

Gold outlook: XAU/USD enters key resistance zone ahead of CPI

Gold prices we have been contained for much of the session so far today after a sharp rebound last week, climbing almost 7.5% after spending several weeks moving sideways around the $4,000 level. The strength of the move has put the precious metal firmly back on traders’ radar, but the key issue now is whether this breakout can develop into a more sustained uptrend or whether it ultimately proves to be another sharp rally within a broader consolidation phase.