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Silver and Gold Bulls Face a Tough Reality as the Dollar Regains Momentum

Razan Hilal, FOREX.com Market Analyst, examines the U.S. Dollar Index, gold and silver as rising rate expectations and dollar strength push precious metals toward historically significant technical levels. She explains the key price zones that could determine whether gold and silver extend their declines or establish long-term buying opportunities, and why the next major move may depend on the direction of the U.S. dollar.

Silver forecast: Technical Tuesday | January 13, 2026

We are barely two weeks into the new year, and silver is already up 20% year-to-date. Momentum has evidently remained strong after the metal skyrocketed in the second half of last year, closing 2025 with a gain of nearly 150% to mark its strongest annual performance since the late 1970s. The follow-up gains in these initial days of 2026 makes any silver forecast both intriguing and slightly uncomfortable. Moves of this scale tend to leave the market stretched.

Silver 2026 outlook: The trade to watch

As per my gold 2026 outlook, I am not feeling super bullish on the yellow metal after its staggering almost 70% gains this year. Silver has had an even better 2025, exploding higher by nearly 150% — putting both metals on course for their strongest annual showing since 1979. Will silver break even more records after a historic 2025, or will gravity weigh on the white metal?

Silver outlook: XAU and XAG relinquish gains in bearish reversal

Earlier today, silver was up 3.5% but along with gold. But the metal has since fallen sharply to turn flat on the day, potentially signalling a bearish technical reversal. We have seen other markets also come under pressure after a brighter start earlier this morning. Chief among them were cryptocurrencies, where the carnage continues. Ether has broken below $3,000 while Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000.