Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD October Breakout Reverses Toward Critical Support
Aussie bulls face a critical test of rising trend support, with the October recovery under threat as selling pressure builds into November.
Written by
Michael Boutros
Sr. Technical Strategist
Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The Australian dollar fell on the RBA hike as the central bank dropped its explicit pledge to raise rates further if needed. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, breaks down the Aussie dollar across the weekly, daily and four-hour charts and maps the event risk ahead. The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered its fifth rate hike of the year but removed the line committing to further increases if needed. Governor Bullock said the change should not be read as a signal that the RBA is on hold, yet markets have taken it that way. The Australian dollar has yet to post a weekly close below its 52-week moving average, the key test for a consolidation range that has held since March, with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement marking major support. U.S. nonfarm payrolls lead a loaded calendar that also includes ADP employment, ISM services and Australian trade balance data, and payrolls carry the largest potential impact on U.S. monetary policy.
This content was created by an affiliate of StoneX Trading and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by StoneX Trading.
Key AUD/USD Economic Data Releases
Active Short-term Technical Video Updates
- British Pound Technical Outlook: GBP/USD Reversal Threatens October Recovery
- Canadian Dollar Technical Outlook: USD/CAD Plunge Tests Critical Support Ahead of BoC, Fed
- Gold Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Breakdown Threatens Deeper Selloff
- Swiss Franc Technical Outlook: USD/CHF Reversal Puts Major Support in Focus
- Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Bulls Face Critical Test After Support Rebound
- US Dollar Technical Outlook: DXY, Treasury Yields Retreat Despite Hot CPI
--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist
Follow Michael on X @MBForex
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