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DAX and EUR/USD forecast: Lower energy prices, yields offer support

But the question, of course, is how much further oil prices and bond yields can fall. For now, the combination is supportive of risk assets and is helping to sustain a relatively benign decline in the dollar. The focus today will be on US core PCE inflation, due for release shortly, while Nvidia’s second-quarter earnings will provide another test for risk appetite after the US markets close – not just for US indices but for global tech-heavy indices given the influence Nvidia has over the global tech and AI names.

DAX forecast: Crude oil spikes as stocks tumble amid US-Iran re-escalation

After a long and eventful first half of the year dominated by the US-Israel war on Iran and Trump’s constant flip-flopping, the last thing investors, and frankly anyone else, needed with the summer holidays approaching was a return of the same geopolitical environment. Unfortunately, it looks like we could be heading back to that. Crude oil has spiked over the last couple of sessions having just returned to pre-war levels just a few days ago, while European indices such as the DAX and Ibex were nursing losses of 2-3% at the time of writing.