StoneX Trading Logo

US Dollar Technical Outlook: DXY Bulls Fight to Hold Critical Support Ahead of NFP

DXY bulls are attempting to defend a pivotal technical threshold, with the next reaction likely to determine whether the broader recovery survives.

Written by
Michael Boutros
Michael Boutros

Sr. Technical Strategist

Share:

US Dollar Technical Outlook: DXY Multi-Timeframe Analysis

The U.S. dollar outlook turns to payrolls after the DXY recovered a sharp pullback into the midterm elections and held its yearly uptrend. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, breaks down the U.S. dollar index across monthly, weekly, daily and four-hour charts, and the data releases lined up next. Nonfarm payrolls are the immediate test for the U.S. dollar, following an ADP private payrolls report that came in hotter than expected. Markets are still largely pricing a Federal Reserve rate hike in December, so a stronger or weaker labor market reading feeds directly into that expectation. The DXY remains inside its broader yearly uptrend, and daily and weekly closes around a key support zone show if the pullback deepens. After payrolls, the next major catalyst for the U.S. dollar is the U.S. CPI inflation update.

This content was created by an affiliate of StoneX Trading and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by StoneX Trading.

Key US Economic Data Releases

image-20261105100712-1

Active Short-term Technical Video Updates

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist

Follow Michael on X @MBForex

Web Trader platform

Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Open an account today

Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.

Economic calendar

Related articles

Gold and S&P 500 analysis: What now after Warsh’s hawkish speech?

The dollar surged across the board after the Fed Chair Kevin Warsh surprised with a hawkish-leaning speech at the Jackson Hole summit. All the bearish dollar bets that had been accumulated since last Friday on the back of data weakness and bond market troubles had to be squared and that triggered a short squeeze rally for the dollar. Gold and silver dropped, as a result, as too did bitcoin, while US indices were giving back earlier gains.