Canada Know-Risk Weekly Agricultural Market Update 9-18-26
Canada Know-Risk Weekly Agricultural Market Update 9-18-26
Jason Labossiere
- Grains & Oilseeds
Arlan Suderman’s Market Outlook | StoneX
By: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist
Arlan Suderman’s Market Outlook
In this webinar series, Arlan Suderman presents his USDA Report analysis and the potential commodity market movers he’s got his eye on each month in 2024. Click the link below to access recordings of the webinars to get his market insights.
You can also register for the entire year of Arlan Suderman’s Market Outlook webinars here. In addition to his monthly analysis, you’ll also get access to Arlan’s quarterly outlooks. You will receive calendar invites and reminders for each webinar throughout the year, ensuring you get all his market insights.
- Grains & Oilseeds
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Perspective: Morning Commentary for September 18
September 18 – Stock futures were firm and commodity prices initially again weaker this morning as Wall Street prepares for another weekend when the headlines will continue to flow while the markets are closed. Commodity weakness ahead of the weekend fits a recent pattern for Friday trade. Global energy deficit fears continue to ease as we head into the weekend as Saudi Arabia partially restores flow along its east-west pipeline, and flow through the Strait of Hormuz may be improving. In fact, some reports suggest that ship-to-ship transfers may be moving more than 7 million barrels a day now out of the Gulf, with that number continuing to rise. Global central banks are attacking inflation, although questions remain regarding the effectiveness of those efforts amid high energy prices.
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Perspective: Morning Commentary for September 17
September 17 – The Fed delivered a 25-basis point rate hike as expected yesterday, bringing their benchmark range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This is officially the first rate hike by the Fed in more than three years, dating back to July 2023. The market was pricing in near certain expectations of such a hike in the lead-up, leading to a relatively muted reaction in the trading that followed, though the Dow Jones and S&P 500 did both finish yesterday in the red. They’re looking to rebound to kick off trade this morning, however, with stock futures pointing to a notably stronger open across the board while the VIX is sharply lower, falling below 15.5 for the first time since last Tuesday. The dollar is in the red to start the day after pushing to a fresh six-week high of 100.35 yesterday, currently trading near 100.11 at the time of writing. Treasury yields are notably lower, particularly at the front-end of the curve, with 2-year yields back to 4.675%, 10-year yields at 4.949%, and 30-year yields at 5.307%. Crude oil is starting the day in the red, with nearby WTI down 1.9% to trade just above $100 at the time of writing, while nearby Brent is down a further 3.6% to trade near $102. Meanwhile, the ags are looking at a mostly lower open.
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